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Coping with risk through mismatches: domestic and international financial contracts for emerging economies

Augusto de la Torre, Sergio Schmukler and Sergio L.

No 3212, Policy Research Working Paper Series from The World Bank

Abstract: The authors argue that short termism, dollarization, and the use of foreign jurisdictions are endogenous ways of coping with systemic risks prevalent in emerging markets. They represent a symptom at least as much as a problem. These coping mechanisms are jointly determined and the choice of one of them involves risk tradeoffs. Various conclusions can be derived from the analysis. First, because of the dominance of dollar contracts over short-duration contracts, dedollarization might be much more difficult to achieve than often believed. Second, one-dimensional policies aimed at reducing currency and duration mismatches might just displace risk and not diminish it. Third, as systemic risks rise, the market equilibrium settles in favor of investor protection against price risk (through dollar and short-duration contracts) at the expense of exposure to credit risk. Finally, the option value to litigate in the event of default might explain this equilibrium outcome.

Keywords: Financial Intermediation; Banks&Banking Reform; Labor Policies; Payment Systems&Infrastructure; Economic Theory&Research; Banks&Banking Reform; Economic Theory&Research; Financial Intermediation; Insurance&Risk Mitigation; Health Economics&Finance (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2004-02-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dev, nep-fin and nep-ifn
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (35)

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