How commodity prices respond to macroeconomic news

Dhaneshwar Ghura

No 354, Policy Research Working Paper Series from The World Bank

Abstract: This paper analyzes the immediate, delayed and group responses of 20 commodity prices in four commodity groups (foods and livestock, crops, energy and metals) to macroeconomic"news"(unexpected announcements) in the United States between 1985 and 1989. It finds that macroeconomic news generally affects commodities within groups in the same direction - but there is no clear evidence that the prices of largely unrelated commodity groups react in the same way to macroeconomic shocks. The paper also notes that the business cycle must be carefully considered in analyzing the impact of macroeconomic news on commodity prices. It looks at variables such as inflation, exchange rates, interest rates, money stock and real activity. For each of the variables, the immediate impact of news is often different from the one-day-lagged impact - and different for different commodity groups.

Keywords: Economic Theory&Research; Environmental Economics&Policies; Markets and Market Access; Access to Markets; Insurance&Risk Mitigation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1990-02-28
References: View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/WDSC ... d/PDF/multi_page.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:354

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Policy Research Working Paper Series from The World Bank 1818 H Street, N.W., Washington, DC 20433. Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Roula I. Yazigi ().