Europe, Middle East, and North Africa region population projections: 1990-91

Eduard Bos, Patience W. Stephens, My T. Vu and Rodolfo A. Bulatao

No 601, Policy Research Working Paper Series from The World Bank

Abstract: Recent trendsin demographic indicators in the countries of the Europe, Middle East, and North Africa region show the distinctions among its three subregions: (a) in Europe, low levels of fertility, mortality, and population growth persist; (b) in North Africa, fertility has started to decline in the last decade, but high population growth continues because of young age structures and declining mortality; and (c) in the Middle East, fertility decline has not yet started in most countries, and population growth rates are among the highest in the world. The population of the region as a whole is growing at 2.4 percent, and is projected to double in 30 years. During the 1990s, the region's population will increase by 14 million people every year. The total fertility rate is generally high - more than 6 children per woman in a dozen countries in the region. The infant mortality rate of 85 for the region, excluding Europe, exceeds the average for developing countries. The projections show mortality and fertility declining in all countries, following a model based on an analysis of observed trends worldwide.

Keywords: Demographics; Health Indicators; Health Information&Communications Technologies; Earth Sciences&GIS (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1991-02-28
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