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MTEFs and fiscal performance: panel data evidence

Francesco Grigoli (), Zachary Mills, Marijn Verhoeven and Razvan Vlaicu

No 6186, Policy Research Working Paper Series from The World Bank

Abstract: In the last two decades more than 120 countries have adopted a version of a Medium-Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF). These are budget institutions whose rationale it is to enable the central government to make credible multi-year fiscal commitments. This paper analyzes a newly-collected dataset of worldwide MTEF adoptions during 1990-2008. It exploits within-country variation in MTEF adoption in a dynamic panel framework to estimate their impacts. The analysis finds that MTEFs strongly improve fiscal discipline, with more advanced MTEF phases having a larger impact. Higher-phase MTEFs also improve allocative efficiency. Only top-phase MTEFs have a significantly positive effect on technical efficiency.

Keywords: Public Sector Expenditure Policy; Debt Markets; Health Monitoring&Evaluation; Banks&Banking Reform; E-Business (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012-09-01
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-pbe
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7)

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