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Exploring the Heterogeneous Effects of Export Promotion

Marcelo Olarreaga, Stefan Sperlich and Virginie Trachsel

No 8833, Policy Research Working Paper Series from The World Bank

Abstract: A semiparametric varying coefficient model is used to explore the heterogeneity in returns to export promotion across countries. Differences in characteristics of export-promotion agencies drive the heterogeneity in returns. Interestingly, characteristics that matter for export growth do not necessarily matter for GDP per capita growth. A 1 percent increase in export-promotion budgets is associated with an average increase in exports of 0.10 percent and an average increase in GDP per capita of 0.06 percent. However, these average returns hide a lot of heterogeneity. Returns in terms of exports vary from 0 percent in Cyprus and Vietnam to 0.22 percent in Portugal. Returns in terms of GDP per capita show less heterogeneity, varying from 0.05 in Malawi to 0.10 percent in Portugal and Nicaragua.

Keywords: Export Competitiveness; International Trade and Trade Rules; Trade and Services; Transport Services (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019-04-29
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-int and nep-sea
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http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/99630155 ... Export-Promotion.pdf (application/pdf)

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Journal Article: Exploring the Heterogeneous Effects of Export Promotion (2020) Downloads
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