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Coastal Development between Opportunity and Disaster Risk: A Multisectoral Risk Assessment for Vietnam

Johannes Michael Braese, Sophie Anne De Vries Robbe and Jun Erik Maruyama Rentschler

No 9352, Policy Research Working Paper Series from The World Bank

Abstract: This paper presents a multisectoral risk assessment, analyzing natural risks faced by key drivers of socioeconomic development in coastal Vietnam. The analysis quantifies the exposure of assets and economic activity to the following natural hazards: riverine flooding, coastal flooding, typhoon winds, coastal erosion, and saline intrusion. These hazards are analyzed according to their impact on agricultural production, aquaculture, human settlements, industrial zones, tourism, health care facilities, schools, and the electricity transmission network. Overall, the results show the complex nature of natural risk in Vietnam, with significant exposure of key economic sectors, public services and assets. The estimates suggest that exposure varies greatly between hazards, sectors, and provinces. This paper provides detailed technical descriptions of the methodologies, data sources, and analytical assumptions employed to obtain the estimates, and acts as a technical background paper to Resilient Shores: Vietnam's Coastal Development between Opportunity and Disaster Risk (Rentschler et al., 2020).

Keywords: Climate Change and Agriculture; Natural Disasters; Disaster Management; Hazard Risk Management; Social Risk Management (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020-08-05
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-env, nep-sea and nep-tra
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