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Raising College Access and Completion: How Much Can Free College Help ?

Maria Marta Ferreyra, Carlos Garriga (), Juan David Martin and Angelica Maria Sanchez Diaz

No 9428, Policy Research Working Paper Series from The World Bank

Abstract: Free college proposals have become increasingly popular in many countries, yet cross-countryevidence indicates that higher college subsidies raise enrollment but not graduation rates. To capture the evidenceand evaluate proposals, this paper develops and estimates a dynamic model of college enrollment, performance, andgraduation. A central piece of the model, student effort, has a direct effect on class completion and an indirecteffect mitigating the risk of performing poorly or dropping out. The model is estimated using rich student-level datafrom Colombia, and multiple free college programs are simulated. Among them, universal free college expandsenrollment the most but does not affect graduation rates, thereby helping explain the evidence. Performance-based freecollege, in contrast, raises graduation rates yet has a smaller enrollment impact.

Keywords: Educational Sciences; Tertiary Education; Public Sector Economics; Public Financial Management; Public Finance Decentralization and Poverty Reduction; Labor & Employment Law; Rural Labor Markets; Labor Markets (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020-10-06
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