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Measuring the Effects of Trade Liberalization in Kosovo

Mario Holzner and Florin Peci

No 98, wiiw Balkan Observatory Working Papers from The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw

Abstract: Similar to other countries in the European periphery, Kosovo lacks competitiveness, has adopted the euro as its national currency and started an integration process with the EU. The next milestone in this process is the signing of an FTA with the EU. We simulate full trade liberalization vis -à-vis the EU, using the Global Simulation Model. Our results suggest a slight output loss in almost all industries in Kosovo due to a drop in prices. Moreover the government budget is expected to lose about 5% of its revenues due to the tariff cut. A shift towards more direct taxation and an improvement of the investment climate in Kosovo is recommended.

Keywords: trade policy simulation; Kosovo; EU integration (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F15 F17 P33 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012-06
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Published as wiiw Balkan Observatory Working Paper

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