Growth model adapting under pressure

Vasily Astrov, Alexandra Bykova, Selena Duraković (), Meryem Gökten, Richard Grieveson, Ioannis Gutzianas, Doris Hanzl-Weiß, Gabor Hunya, Branimir Jovanovic, Biljana Jovanovikj, Niko Korpar, Dzmitry Kruk, Isilda Mara (), Michał Możdżeń, Emilia Penkova-Pearson, Olga Pindyuk, Sandor Richter, Marko Sošić, Bernd Christoph Ströhm and Maryna Tverdostup
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Selena Duraković: The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw, https://wiiw.ac.at/selena-durakovic-s-1658.html

No Spring2026, wiiw Forecast Reports from The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw

Abstract: CESEE faces a renewed external shock at a critical moment of structural change. The Middle East war adds inflationary pressure and uncertainty to a region already shifting away from a low-cost, export-led growth model towards one driven by investment and productivity upgrading.

Keywords: CESEE Central and Eastern Europe; economic forecast; Western Balkans; CIS; Ukraine; Russia; Turkey; EU; business cycle; economic sentiment; euro area; convergence; labour markets; unemployment; Russia-Ukraine war; commodity prices; inflation; price controls; trade disruptions; renewable energy; gas; electricity; monetary policy; fiscal policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E20 E21 E22 E24 E32 E5 E62 F21 F31 H60 I18 J20 J30 O47 O52 O57 P24 P27 P33 P52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 141 pages including 30 Tables and 58 Figures
Date: 2026-04
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