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High School Grades and University Performance: A Case Study

Philippe Cyrenne () and Alan Chan ()

Departmental Working Papers from The University of Winnipeg, Department of Economics

Abstract: A critical issue facing a number of colleges and universities is how to allocate first year places to incoming students. The decision to admit students if often based on a number of factors, but a key statistic is a student's high school grades. This paper reports on a case study of the subsequent performance at the University of Winnipeg of high school students from 84 Manitoba High Schools. By tracking the University performance of a set of students admitted for the years 1997-2002, we are able to estimate the likelihood of success of subsequent students based on their characteristics as well as their high school grades. In doing so, we use a number of alternative estimators including a Least Squares Dummy Variable Model and a Hierarchical Linear Model. The methodology should be of interest to admissions o±cers at other universities as an input into estimating the subsequent performance of first year students.

JEL-codes: L1 L2 L4 L83 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 44 pages
Date: 2010-05
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Journal Article: High school grades and university performance: A case study (2012) Downloads
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