Accouting for Biases in Black-Scholes
David Backus,
Silverio Foresi and
Liuren Wu
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Silverio Foresi: Goldman Sachs
Finance from University Library of Munich, Germany
Abstract:
Prices of currency options commonly differ from the Black-Scholes formula along two dimensions: implied volatilities vary by strike price (volatility smiles) and maturity (implied volatility of atthemoney options increases, on average, with maturity). We account for both using GramCharlier expansions to approximate the conditional distribution of the logarithm of the price of the underlying security. In this setting, volatility is approximately a quadratic function of moneyness, a result we use to infer skewness and kurtosis from volatility smiles. Evidence suggests that both kurtosis in currency prices and biases in BlackScholes option prices decline with maturity.
Keywords: currency options; skewness and kurtosis; Gram-Charlier expansions; implied volatility (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C14 F31 G12 G13 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 41 pages
Date: 2002-08-30
Note: Type of Document - postscript; prepared on MikTex; to print on postscript; pages: 41 ; figures: included. produced via dvips
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (20)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wpa:wuwpfi:0207008
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