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Settore sommerso e politiche di emersione: un approccio stocastico

Margherita Scarlato and Marisa Cenci
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Marisa Cenci: University of Roma Tre

GE, Growth, Math methods from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: The aim of this paper is to analyse the role of uncertainty in shaping the decisions of firms in the underground economy. Following the option value approach, we present a dynamic model which captures (i) the irreversibility of riallocation decisions from the underground sector to the legal sector and (ii)the option value od delaying the riallocation decisions when stochastic shocks can change the net present returns in both the legal and the underground sectors. The model allow us to draw a number of interesting policy implications. Last we use the theoretical results to address the specific issues that arise in the case of the Mezzogiorno of Italy.

Keywords: decision-making under uncertainty; stochastic programming; underground economy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D81 O17 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 30 pages
Date: 2004-02-11
Note: Type of Document - pdf; to print on hp laserjet 1300; pages: 30 ; figures: 2 figures. 30 pages, pdf file
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Journal Article: Settore sommerso e politiche di emersione: un approccio stocastico (2002) Downloads
Working Paper: Settore sommerso e politiche di emersione: un approccio stocastico (2001) Downloads
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