Local Labor Markets and Cyclic Components in Demand for College Trained Manpower
James Smith () and
Finis R. Welch
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Finis R. Welch: UCLA & RAND Corporation
Labor and Demography from University Library of Munich, Germany
In this paper we examine earnings of synthetic cohorts contained in the Current Population Surveys (CPS) for each year 1968 to 1975. The CPS data are useful to test for the importance of local labor markets because individuals can be assigned to markets by calendar year and area of residence. We find that contrary to the established conviction, wage rates are sensitive to business cycles. This sensitivity appears, holding industry constant, to be skill neutral so that business cycle movements aparently explain little of the recent time series behavior of relative wages of college graduates. Furthermore, we have identified some important movements in wage rates among areas. These wage differentials seem more sensitive to employment deviations and trends than we at least initially expected.
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Note: Type of Document - pdf; pages: 31. Annales de l'Insee, Number 30-31, 1978
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wpa:wuwpla:0403022
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