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CAN WE PREDICT THE OUTCOME OF THE INTERNATIONAL FOOTBALL TOURNAMENTS: THE CASE OF EURO 2000?

Ferda Halicioglu

Microeconomics from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: This paper statistically analyses and attempts to predict the most likely winners of the Euro 2000 football tournament on the basis of the seasonal coefficients of variation (CVs) of the end-of-season points, which were computed from the top division final standings of participating countries of Euro 2000. The CV values computed from over ten seasons for the respective countries were used as a sole measurement value to rank the countries and to determine the most likely winners of Euro 2000. According to the three scenarios (long-term, mid-term, and short-term) based on the respective CV values of fifteen countries, France appeared to be the most likely country to win Euro 2000 and was closely followed by Spain.

Keywords: Football; Ranking; UEFA; Sports forecasts. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C40 C49 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2005-03-11
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-spo
Note: Type of Document - pdf
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wpa:wuwpmi:0503008

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