Does electing criminally accused politicians affect the constituency level Maoist incidents? Evidence from India

Yuchen Zhong
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Yuchen Zhong: Monash University

Warwick-Monash Economics Student Papers from Warwick Monash Economics Student Papers

Abstract: This paper estimates the causal effects of electing criminally accused politicians on Maoist-initiated incidents in India at the constituency level. The research leverages the methodology of regression discontinuity design, contrasting constituency where criminally accused candidates barely lost with constituencies where non-accused candidates barely lost. The findings provide preliminary indications of the negative effect of electing criminally accused leaders on the Maoist-initiated incidents. Notably, this effect is more pronounced when accounting for variations across different states. The analysis reveals that the election of criminally accused leaders correlated with a reduction of nearly three Maoist-initiated incidents in Jharkhand, and notably, this effect remains observable over an extended period.

Keywords: Criminal Accusations; Regression Discontinuity; Maoist incidents JEL classifications: D72; D74 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-pol
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