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Modeling electricity prices: jump diffusion and regime switching

Rafał Weron, Michael Bierbrauer and Stefan Trück
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Stefan Trueck ()

No HSC/03/01, HSC Research Reports from Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology

Abstract: In this paper we address the issue of modeling spot electricity prices. After summarizing the stylized facts about spot electricity prices, we review a number of models proposed in the literature. Afterwards we fit a jump diffusion and a regime switching model to spot prices from the Nordic power exchange and discuss the pros and cons of each one.

Keywords: Electricity price; Jump diffusion; Regime switching; Seasonality (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C53 Q40 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 14 pages
Date: 2003
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (25)

Published in Physica A 336 (2004) 39-48

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.im.pwr.wroc.pl/~hugo/RePEc/wuu/wpaper/HSC_03_01.pdf Revised version, 2003 (application/pdf)
http://dx.doi.org/doi:10.1016/j.physa.2004.01.008 Final printed version, 2004 (text/html)
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