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Scaling in currency exchange: A Conditionally Exponential Decay approach

Szymon Mercik and Rafał Weron

No HSC/98/02, HSC Research Reports from Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology

Abstract: We use the Conditionally Exponential Decay (CED) model to explain the scaling behavior in currency exchange (FX) rates. This approach enables us not only to show that FX returns satisfy scaling with an exponent qualitatively different from that of a random walk, but also to identify the distributions of these returns corresponding to the empirical scaling laws. The study is conducted via three different estimation methods and using intra-daily FX data which offers the great advantage of large samples and high significance.

Keywords: Econophysics; Scaling law; CED model; High frequency data; Currency exchange (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C16 C58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 15 pages
Date: 1998
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Published in Physica A 267 (1999) 239-250.

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http://www.im.pwr.wroc.pl/~hugo/RePEc/wuu/wpaper/HSC_98_02.pdf Final version, 1998 (application/pdf)

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Journal Article: Scaling in currency exchange: a conditionally exponential decay approach (1999) Downloads
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