Investigating Imbalances in Manufacturing Trade

Willem Thorbecke

No 2017-07, RIEI Working Papers from Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool University, Research Institute for Economic Integration

Abstract: Researchers found that manufacturing imports have caused dislocation and triggered protectionist pressures. This paper investigates whether manufacturing exports from China, Germany, and other exporters are disproportionate. Gravity model results indicate that Germany’s exports in 2015 were 24 percent more than predicted and China’s exports 5 percent less than predicted. However, China’s exports to North America were 71 percent more than predicted and China’s exports to East Asia 46 percent less than predicted. East Asia’s intra-regional exports were also 36 percent less than predicted. Dynamic ordinary least squares findings indicate that export price elasticities are higher for China, Korea, Taiwan, the UK and the US and lower for Germany and Japan.

Keywords: RManufacturing exports; Gravity model; China (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F14 F22 F32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 29 pages
Date: 2017-05-30
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cna and nep-int
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