Partei- und Koalitionspräferenzen der Wähler bei der Bundestagswahl 1998 und 2002

Franz Urban Pappi (fupappi@rumms.uni-mannheim.de) and Thomas Gschwend (gschwend@uni-mannheim.de)
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Franz Urban Pappi: Sonderforschungsbereich 504, Postal: L 13, 15, D-68131 Mannheim

No 03-37, Sonderforschungsbereich 504 Publications from Sonderforschungsbereich 504, Universität Mannheim, Sonderforschungsbereich 504, University of Mannheim

Abstract: Our basic argument is that in multi-party systems we should not only analyze party preferences but also coalition preferences in order to explain voting behavior. We distinguish between coalition leaning and coalition preference and are interested in explaining under what conditions an explicit preference for a particular coalition of parties will be formed. Our hypothesis is that only for clearly identifiable pre-electoral coalition options we can expect to observe the formation of a coalition preference. We test this hypothesis with data from the German Federal election in 1998 and 2002. We find that parties sending clear coalition signals to the public are able to have an impact on individuals� decision-making process.

Pages: 0 pages
Date: 2003-12-22
Note: Financial support from the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft, SFB 504, at the University of Mannheim, is gratefully acknowledged.
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Working Paper: Partei- und Koalitionspräferenzen der Wähler bei der Bundestagswahl 1998 und 2002 (2003)
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