Portfolio Diversification and Value At Risk Under Thick-Tailedness
Rustam Ibragimov
Yale School of Management Working Papers from Yale School of Management
Abstract:
We present a unified approach to value at risk analysis under heavy-tailedness using new majorization theory for linear combinations of thick-tailed random variables that we develop. Among other results, we show that the stylized fact that portfolio diversification is always preferable is reversed for extremely heavy-tailed risks or returns. The stylized facts on diversification are nevertheless robust to thick-tailedness of risks or returns as long as their distributions are not extremely long-tailed. We further demonstrate that the value at risk is a coherent measure of risk if distributions of risks are not extremely heavy-tailed. However, coherency of the value at risk is always violated under extreme thick-tailedness. Extensions of the results to the case of dependence, including convolutions of alpha-symmetric distributions and models with common shocks are provided.
Keywords: value at risk; coherent measures of risk; heavy-tailed risks; portfolios; riskiness; diversification; risk bonds (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2005-05-01, Revised 2005-08-01
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ysm:wpaper:amz2386
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