Estimated Age Effects in Athletic Events and Chess

Ray Fair

Yale School of Management Working Papers from Yale School of Management

Abstract: Rates of decline are estimated using record bests by age for chess and for various track and field, road running, and swimming events. Using a fairly flexible functional form, the estimates show linear percent decline between age 35 and about age 70 and then quadratic decline after that. Chess shows much less decline than the physical activities. Rates of decline are generally larger for the longer distances, and for swimming they are larger for women than for men. An advantage of using best-performance records to estimate rates of decline is that the records are generall

Date: 2004-11-01, Revised 2007-08-01
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