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On the low-frequency relationship between public deficits and inflation

Martin Kliem (), Alexander Kriwoluzky and Samad Sarferaz ()

No 12/2013, Discussion Papers from Deutsche Bundesbank

Abstract: We estimate the low-frequency relationship between fiscal deficits and inflation and pay special attention to its potential time variation by estimating a time-varying VAR model for U.S. data from 1900 to 2011. We find the strongest relationship neither in times of crisis nor in times of high public deficits, but from the mid-1960s up to 1980. Our results suggest that the low-frequency relationship between fiscal deficits and inflation is strongly related to the conduct of monetary policy and its interaction with fiscal policy after World War II.

Keywords: Time-Varying VAR; Inflation; Public Deficits (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E42 E58 E61 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-mac and nep-mon
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Related works:
Journal Article: On the Low‐Frequency Relationship Between Public Deficits and Inflation (2016) Downloads
Working Paper: On the low-frequency relationship between public deficits and inflation (2013) Downloads
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