The effect of bank shocks on firm-level and aggregate investment

João Amador () and Arne Nagengast

No 20/2016, Discussion Papers from Deutsche Bundesbank

Abstract: We show that credit supply shocks have a strong impact on firm-level as well as aggregate investment by applying the methodology developed by Amiti and Weinstein (2013) to a rich dataset of matched bank-firm loans in the Portuguese economy for the period 2005 to 2013. We argue that their decomposition framework can also be used in the presence of small firms with only one banking relationship as long as they account for only a small share of the total loan volume of their banks. The growth rate of individual loans in our dataset is decomposed into bank, firm, industry and common shocks. Adverse bank shocks are found to impair firm-level investment in all firms in our sample, but in particular for small firms and those with no access to alternative financing sources. For the economy as a whole, granular shocks in the banking system account for around 20-40% of aggregate investment dynamics.

Keywords: Banks; Credit Dynamics; Investment; Firm-level data; Portuguese Economy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E32 E44 G21 G32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ban, nep-cfn, nep-ger, nep-mac and nep-sbm
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (13)

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Related works:
Working Paper: The effect of bank shocks on firm-level and aggregate investment (2016)
Working Paper: The Effect of Bank Shocks on Firm-Level and Aggregate Investment (2015)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:bubdps:202016

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