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Estimating dynamic tax revenue elasticities for Germany

Gerrit Koester and Christoph Priesmeier

No 23/2012, Discussion Papers from Deutsche Bundesbank

Abstract: We analyse tax revenue elasticities by applying dynamic models to a new disaggregated dataset for Germany, which is adjusted for the effects of tax reforms. We estimate long-run elasticities that are substantially lower than in comparable studies for profit-related taxes and are slightly lower for value-added taxes, whereas the long-run elasticity for wage taxes is close to the consensus estimate in the literature. Additionally, we find that differences between short- and long-run elasticities are particularly important with respect to profit-related taxes. Here we estimate a far lower contemporaneous response to tax base changes than other studies and a dynamic reaction pattern spanning several years, which can be explained, for example, by tax collection lags.

Keywords: Dynamic tax revenue elasticities; Disaggregated analysis; Error correction models (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E26 H2 H24 H25 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-acc, nep-pbe and nep-pub
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (24)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:bubdps:232012

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