Abused rebels and winning coalitions: Regime change under the pressure of rebellions

Thomas Apolte

No 1/2015, CIW Discussion Papers from University of Münster, Center for Interdisciplinary Economics (CIW)

Abstract: We hypothesize that, in certain regime types, winning coalitions have an incentive for helping a deprived population solving the collective action problem that may otherwise restrain them in revolting against an incumbent. Recent selectorate literature holds that members of a winning coalition may find themselves in a loyalty trap after having realized a bad character of an incumbent. According to our hypothesis, the winning coalition's members can find a way out of the loyalty trap by influencing expectations within the population in a way as to spark a public rebellion. A thus induced rebellion raises the chance of each of the winning coalition's members for preserving their position in a newly formed winning coalition following a regime change. Hence, the very regime structure that makes a loyalty trap more probably is identical to a regime structure under which we should expect a higher vulnerability to public rebellions.

JEL-codes: D02 D74 H11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cdm
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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