Testing for constant correlation by means of trigonometric functions

Matthias J. Fischer

No 74/2006, Discussion Papers from Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Chair of Statistics and Econometrics

Abstract: A new test for constant correlation is proposed. The TC-test is derived as Lagrange multiplier (LM) test. Whereas most of the traditional tests (e.g. Jennrich, 1970, Tang, 1995 and Goetzmann, Li & Rouwenhorst, 2005) specify the unknown correlations as piecewise constant, our model-setup for the correlation coefficient is based on trigonometric functions. The simulation results demonstrate that the TC-test guarantees correct empirical size, is powerful against many alternatives and able to detect structural breaks in correlations. Finally, application of the TC-test to foreign exchange rate data over the period of 15 years is given.

Date: 2006
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