Heterogeneity and spatial dependence in Okun's law: a global view

Ángel Maridueña-Larrea, Ángel Martín-Román () and Sylvina Porras-Arena

No 1597, GLO Discussion Paper Series from Global Labor Organization (GLO)

Abstract: This study analyses the relationship between unemployment and economic growth at the international level, addressing the nature and decomposition of the Okun coefficient. Using World Bank data from 173 countries between 1991 and 2019, econometric techniques including decompositions and spatial dependence analysis are applied. First, the validity of Okun's law is confirmed, noting the heterogeneity of the coefficient across countries, suggesting the need for context-specific approaches to improve labour dynamics. Second, the evidence underlines the importance of labour productivity over labour supply as a key determinant of the unemployment-output relationship. Finally, the identification of spatial patterns highlights the interdependence between neighbouring economies, justifying coordinated strategies at the regional level to boost employment. These results provide valuable guidelines for the design of more effective public policies, adapted to the productive and labour realities of each country and capable of exploiting of the synergies arising from economic integration.

Keywords: Okun's Law; Economic growth; Unemployment; Labour productivity; Labour supply; Spatial dependence; Economic integration (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C21 C32 E32 J21 R23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/315055/1/GLO-DP-1597.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:glodps:1597

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in GLO Discussion Paper Series from Global Labor Organization (GLO) Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics ().