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Testing for the existence of a bubble in the stock market

Dieter Gerdesmeier, Hans-Eggert Reimers and Barbara Roffia

No 01/2013, Wismar Discussion Papers from Hochschule Wismar, Wismar Business School

Abstract: Are specific developments in stock prices in line with fundamentals or do they reflect a rising bubble? And if the latter result applies, how is it possible to detect a bubble in real time? The answer to this question is of utmost relevance for a number of areas, not least for either financial market participants or for central banks aiming at pursuing a policy of 'leaning against the wind'. In this study, we make use of a sample of 17 OECD industrialised countries and the euro area over the sample period 1969 Q1 - 2008 Q3 and carry out univariate and multivariate panel tests to find evidence of bubbles in the stock market of those countries over the past four decades.

JEL-codes: E37 E44 E51 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-fmk and nep-mac
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:hswwdp:012013

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