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What drives food price volatility? Evidence based on a generalized VAR approach applied to the food, financial and energy markets

Sławomir Śmiech (), Monika Papież, Marek Dąbrowski () and Kamil Fijorek

No 2018-55, Economics Discussion Papers from Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)

Abstract: The aim of this study is to investigate sources of food prices volatility. The analysis uses daily series for volatility of corn, soybean, wheat, rice, US dollar, crude oil, and SP500 futures spanning the period January 4, 2000 to April 1, 2017. The authors employ the generalized vector autoregressive framework in rolling sample approach in order to capture the time-varying nature of volatility spillovers. The results reveal that: volatility spillovers measures change over time; most of the volatility spillovers are observed within the two groups of markets: food markets and 'non-food' markets; corn market is net volatility transmitter.

Keywords: volatility spillovers; food markets; financial and energy markets; generalized VAR; lasso estimation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q17 G15 C58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr
Date: 2018
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https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/180398/1/1026976340.pdf (application/pdf)

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