Macroeconomic volatilities and the labor market: first results from the euro experiment

Christian Merkl and Tom Schmitz

No 1511, Kiel Working Papers from Kiel Institute for the World Economy

Abstract: This paper analyzes the effects of different labor market institutions on inflation and output volatility. The eurozone offers an unprecedented experiment for this exercise: since 1999, no national monetary policies have been implemented that could account for volatility differences across member states, but labor market characteristics have remained very diverse. We use a New Keynesian model with unemployment to predict the effects of different labor market institutions on macroeconomic volatilities. In our subsequent empirical estimations, we find that higher labor turnover costs have a statistically significant negative effect on output volatility, while replacement rates have a positive effect, both of which are in line with theory. Real wage rigidities do not seem to play much of a role. This result is in line with our employed labor market model, but stands in stark contrast to the search and matching model. While labor market institutions have a large effect on output volatility, they do not seem to have much of an effect on inflation volatility. Our estimations indicate that the latter is driven instead to a certain extent by differences in government spending volatility.

Keywords: Labor market institutions; macroeconomic volatility; monetary policy; firing costs; unemployment benefits; replacement rate (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E24 E32 J64 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/28339/1/598262555.PDF (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Macroeconomic volatilities and the labor market: First results from the euro experiment (2011)
Working Paper: Macroeconomic Volatilities and the Labor Market: First Results from the Euro Experiment (2010)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:ifwkwp:1511

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Kiel Working Papers from Kiel Institute for the World Economy Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics ().