The role of a changing market environment for credit default swap pricing

Julian Leppin and Stefan Reitz

No 1946, Kiel Working Papers from Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel)

Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of a changing market environment on the pricing of CDS spreads written on debt from EURO STOXX 50 firms. A Panel Smooth Transition Regression reveals that parameter estimates of standard CDS fundamentals are time-varying depending on current values of a set of variables such as ECB's systemic stress composite index, the Sentix index for current and future economics situation, and the VStoxx. These variables describe the market's transition between different regimens thereby reflecting the impact of substantial swings in agents' risk perception on CDS spreads. Overall, our results confirm the importance of nonlinearities in the pricing of risk derivatives during tranquil and turbulent times.

Keywords: CDS spreads; Financial Crisis; Panel Smooth Transition (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C33 G13 G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Related works:
Journal Article: The Role of a Changing Market Environment for Credit Default Swap Pricing (2016)
Working Paper: The Role of a Changing Market Environment for Credit Default Swap Pricing (2014)
Working Paper: The role of a changing market: Environment for credit default swap pricing (2014)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:ifwkwp:1946

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