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AGMEMOD outlook for agricultural and food markets in EU member states 2018-2030

Petra Salamon, Martin Banse (), Trevor Donnellan, Marlen Haß, Roelof A. Jongeneel, Verena Laquai, Myrna van Leeuwen, Ioanna Reziti, Guna Salputra and Max-Emanuel Zirngibl

No 114, Thünen Working Papers from Johann Heinrich von Thünen Institute, Federal Research Institute for Rural Areas, Forestry and Fisheries

Abstract: Policy, administration and industry need medium-term projections of the expected developments in the agri-food markets for their decision-making processes. The EU Commission presents such projections for the EU as a whole in December of each year. Those projections and their assumptions regarding policy and macroeconomic developments are depicted to the level of individual EU Member States with the exception of Luxembourg, which is included in the figures of Belgium, by applying the partial equilibrium model AGMEMOD. The working paper briefly describes the approach to establish projections for the EU Member States. The projections cover the markets of main agricultural products, in particular for cereals and oilseeds (rapeseed and sunflower seed), livestock (cattle, pigs, goats and sheep), meat (beef, pork, and poultry), milk and dairy products (drinking milk, butter, cheese, skimmed milk powder, whole milk and semi-skimmed milk powder). The outcomes comprise items like areas, livestock numbers, yields, production, trade and use, as well as prices. The individual projection results are displayed in tables.

Keywords: projections; agricultural market; PE; agricultural market model; dairy market; meat market; grain market; oilseed market; EU member states; Projektionen; Agrarmarkt; Agrarmarktmodell; Milchmarkt; Fleischmarkt; Getreidemarkt; Ölsaatenmarkt; EU-Mitgliedsstaaten (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C30 Q11 Q13 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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Working Paper: AGMEMOD Outlook for Agricultural and Food Markets in EU Member States 2018-2030 (2019) Downloads
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