Exchange rate uncertainty, futures markets and the multinational firm

Udo Broll and Itzhak Zilcha

No 139, Discussion Papers, Series II from University of Konstanz, Collaborative Research Centre (SFB) 178 "Internationalization of the Economy"

Abstract: We consider a monopolistic, risk-averse multinational firm which sells and produces at home and abroad under exchange rate uncertainty. First we show that the stochastic exchange rate implies higher production and lower sales in the foreign country. Then we analyze the impact of currency futures markets. A separation result is obtained for a multinational firm, i.e., production and the allocation of sales are independent of the distribution of the random exchange rate and of the firm's attitude towards risk. We also examine the effect of currency futures on a multinational firm's foreign direct investments. In the absence of futures markets we obtain some comparative statics results when risk aversion increases.

Date: 1991
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Journal Article: Exchange rate uncertainty, futures markets and the multinational firm (1992)
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