Uncertainty and Episodes of Extreme Capital Flows in the Euro Area

Torsten Schmidt and Lina Zwick

No 461, Ruhr Economic Papers from RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen

Abstract: During the Euro Area crisis huge changes in international capital flows occurred associated with a high level of economic uncertainty. While it is evident that both factors are able to trigger or amplify economic shocks posing a threat for economic activity it is a natural question whether they are related. The aim of this paper is to analyse the link between different measures of uncertainty and episodes of extreme capital flows for the core Euro Area countries using gross capital flows. We find that country-specific risk factors seem to play a more important role than global risk factors. Moreover, country-specific uncertainty seems to be more relevant for foreign direct investors.

Keywords: capital flows; uncertainty; Euro Area crisis; sudden stops; retrenchment (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F21 F32 G01 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Related works:
Journal Article: Uncertainty and episodes of extreme capital flows in the Euro Area (2015)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:rwirep:461

DOI: 10.4419/86788521

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