A nonparametric analysis of regional unemployment dynamics in Britain

Marco Bianchi and Gylfi Zoega

No 1997,94, SFB 373 Discussion Papers from Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes

Abstract: This paper estimates the probability distribution of relative county unemployment in Britain for the years 1981-1995. We find that the distribution is unimodal in all years, with a falling variance between 1989 and 1994. We use bootstrap methods to determine critical values for the two tails of the distribution, and analyse intra-distribution dynamics. An unemployment transition is defined as a move between a tail and the centre of the distribution (and vice versa). We calculate transition probabilities and find that the probability of leaving any given state is very low. We also find that high (low) unemployment regions have a higher probability of entering a state of lower (higher) unemployment than a state of higher (lower) unemployment.

Keywords: panel data; nonparametric analysis; Regional unemployment; asymmetric effects in the persistence of transition dynamics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C14 E24 R12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1997
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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Related works:
Journal Article: A Nonparametric Analysis of Regional Unemployment Dynamics in Britain (1999)
Working Paper: A Nonparametric Analysis of Regional Unemployment Dynamics in Britain (1996)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:sfb373:199794

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