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Banks' supply of loans: When future monetary policy is uncertain

Kay Mitusch and Dieter Nautz

No 1998,30, SFB 373 Discussion Papers from Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes

Abstract: The most important policy instruments of the Bundesbank and of the coming European Central Bank involve lending to domestic credit institutions. In this monetary setup, banks use short-term central bank credits extensively in order to refinance long-term loans to the public, which makes them vulnerable to sudden monetary policy changes. We develop a loan supply model that captures distinguishing features of the European money supply process and show how money supply responds when future monetary policy is expected to become tighter or more uncertain. The results indicate that the controllability of borrowed reserves is of crucial importance for monetary policy practice.

Keywords: Loan and money supply; central bank lending; monetary policy instruments of the ECB; interest rate risk (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E51 E52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1998
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