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A Structural Model of Export versus Affiliates Production

Joern Kleinert () and Farid Toubal

No 288, Tübinger Diskussionsbeiträge from University of Tübingen, School of Business and Economics

Abstract: We derive and estimate an econometric model of export versus foreign production using firm-level data on foreign activities of German multinationals. Proximity-concentration theory which we derive our model from shows that firms face a trade-off between concentrating their production at home to save on plant set-up costs and producing abroad to save on distance costs. Firms facing this trade-off choose between export and foreign production according to their expected profits. The model is brought to the data using a pooled-probit analysis over the period 1996-1999. We find support for the proximity-concentration trade-off. In particular, market size and distance affect positively the probability of foreign production whereas fixed costs have a negative impact on the decision to engage in FDI.

Keywords: Multinational firms; trade (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F12 F23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2005
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (15)

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