Riots and the Window of Opportunity for Coup Plotters: Evidence on the Link between Urban Protests and Coups d’État

Lena Gerling

VfS Annual Conference 2017 (Vienna): Alternative Structures for Money and Banking from Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association

Abstract: This paper investigates the impact of urban protests on coup attempts in a sample of 39 SSA countries for the period 1990 to 2007. Widespread public discontent, especially when occurring in urban centers, can act as a trigger of coups in autocratic regimes by opening a window of opportunity for leadership removals. Variation in rainfall is used to create an instrument for protests. The results show that rainfall-related popular uprisings in urban areas increase the likelihood of a coup attempt.

JEL-codes: C26 D74 P16 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-afr and nep-pol
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:vfsc17:168054

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