Import-competition, market power and productivity change

Daniel A. Traca

No FS IV 97-29, Discussion Papers, Research Unit: Market Dynamics from WZB Berlin Social Science Center

Abstract: We explore how the competitive pressure of imports affects productivity, at the firm level. There are two conflicting effects of import-competition: the pro-competitive effect fosters productivity, while the direct effect hinders it. The pro-competitive effect dominates in the steady-state, yielding free-trade as the optimal long run policy. However, under a large initial productivity gap, the firm shuts down. Here, a temporary tariff sways the firm to fight, and ensures survival, which is welfare increasing. Trade liberalization, around the steady-state, increases productivity growth and closes the gap. However, a radical liberalization kills the domestic firm. Gradualism increases the likelihood of survival, and increases welfare.

Date: 1997
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