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New economy: Explosive growth driven by a productivity revolution?

Christoph Scherrer

No FS II 01-204, Discussion Papers, Research Unit: Regulation of Work from WZB Berlin Social Science Center

Abstract: The discussion paper discusses the macroeconomic argument of a New Economy that is characterized by higher non-inflationary economic growth due to increases in productivity caused by the digital revolution. Besides presenting evidence put forward by mainstream protagonists of the New Economy, it explores an interpretation of the New Economy inspired by regulation theory. Specifically, it looks at the stability of a financeled regime of accumulation on the basis of the digital production paradigm. Some basic causal relationships of such a regime, especially the investment-profits, wealth-profits, and wealth-consumption connections, seem too fragile to be able to support the assertion that a stable new regime of accumulation has emerged. Furthermore, the New Economy thesis suffers from serious problems in measuring productivity in the service industries. Therefore, it seems just as plausible that the long “Clinton” expansion was a singular event made possible by the special position the U.S. enjoys in the world economy.

Date: 2001
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