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Budget structure and reelection prospects: Empirical evidence from French local elections

Aurélie Cassette, Etienne Farvaque, Jérôme Héricourt and Nicolas Jean

No B 02-2009, ZEI Working Papers from University of Bonn, ZEI - Center for European Integration Studies

Abstract: This paper is a study of the influence of economic and political conditions on the results of incumbent parties' candidates in local elections in France. The large sample used covers 586 towns and two elections (2001 and 2008). It explicitly deals with the specificities induced by the tworound process of the French electoral rule, and results are provided for both the reelection probability and the share of votes. It is shown that the budget structure, and notably equipment expenditures, has a strong impact on the incumbent party's share of votes. Political variables also play a role, as do the number of candidates, and national partisan waves.

Keywords: Local elections; Visible expenditures (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D72 H72 H76 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009
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