The mixed economy of long-term care in England, Germany, Italy, and Spain

Heinz Rothgang, Adelina Comas-Herrera, Raphael Wittenberg, Linda Pickard, Cristiano Gori, Alessandra Pozzi Di Maio, Joan Costa-Font and Concepció Patxot

No 05/2004, Working papers of the ZeS from University of Bremen, Centre for Social Policy Research (ZeS)

Abstract: This paper is based on a European Commission-funded study of future long-term care expenditure in Germany, Italy, Spain and the United Kingdom. It investigates how sensitive long-term care expenditure is to assumptions about demographic trends, future dependency rates, care arrangements, and real inflation. Macro-simulation projection models for each country reflecting the national characteristics of the care system were used to make comparable projections based on a set of common assumptions. This central case was then used as a point of comparison in order to explore the sensitivity of the models to alternative scenarios about key determinants of future expenditure. The proportion of GDP spent on longterm care is projected to more than double between 2000 and 2050 in each country under the central case. However, projections are highly sensitive to changes in the above assumptions.

Date: 2004
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/41507/1/559090846.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:zeswps:052004

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Working papers of the ZeS from University of Bremen, Centre for Social Policy Research (ZeS) Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics ().