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ORD_33_103_R_Data: R notebook and data to replicate the results presented in Nitka and Weron (2023) Operations Research and Decisions 33(3), 105-118

Weronika Nitka and Rafał Weron

WORMS Software (WORking papers in Management Science Software) from Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology

Abstract: This R notebook can be used to replicate the results (including all figures and tables) presented in Nitka and Weron (2023, Operations Research and Decisions 33(3), 105-118, DOI 10.37190/ord230307). It contains implementations of naive and CRPS averaging methods for quantile probabilistic electricity price forecasts, as well as evaluation and visualization scripts. The main R Markdown notebook (ORD_Nitka_Weron_2023.Rmd) file includes all functions and scripts in executable code chunks. The preprocessed data file (NN_forecasts.RData) contains a list with a vector of the observed values of electricity prices, as well as probabilistic forecasts of Marcjasz et al. (2023, Energy Economics 125, 106843, DOI 10.1016/j.eneco.2023.106843) in the form of named matrices where each row contains 99 ordered quantile forecasts for one hourly data point from one model. The data can be read in base R language or in Python (e.g. using the rdata package). All library dependencies are described within the notebook. The notebook can be executed using R or opened with any text editor.

Language: R
Requires: R
Keywords: Electricity price forecasting; Day-ahead market; Distributional neural network; LASSO; Forecast averaging (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023-12-13
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Downloads: (external link)
https://worms.pwr.edu.pl/RePEc/ahh/wcodes/ORD_Nitka_Weron_2023.Rmd R notebook (Rmd) (text/plain)
https://worms.pwr.edu.pl/RePEc/ahh/wcodes/NN_forecasts.RData RData file (58 MB) (application/zip)

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