Long-term Fiscal Model (LTFM)

New Zealand Treasury ()
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New Zealand Treasury: Modelling, Research & Forecasting, The Treasury, https://www.treasury.govt.nz

Treasury Modelling and Data Tools from New Zealand Treasury

Abstract: The Long-Term Fiscal Model (LTFM) is a spreadsheet-based model created by the New Zealand Treasury to produce 40-year projections. The projections cover economic and fiscal variables, such as nominal GDP and net core Crown debt, used in the Statements on the Long-Term Fiscal Position published by the New Zealand Treasury every four years. The latest version of the LTFM is the model produced for He Tirohanga Mokopuna 2025: The Treasury's Long-term Fiscal Position published in September 2025.

Date: 2025-09-24
Note: The next edition will be released no later than 2029.
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Downloads: (external link)
https://www.treasury.govt.nz/publications/strategi ... ng-term-fiscal-model Context and archive for the LTFM series (text/html)
https://www.treasury.govt.nz/publications/ltfm/lon ... ohanga-mokopuna-2025 Context for the 2025 edition (text/html)
https://www.treasury.govt.nz/sites/default/files/2025-09/ltfm-htm-sep25.xlsx Spreadsheet model - LTFM - 2025 edition (application/vnd.ms-excel)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:nzt:nztmdt:ltfm

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