Details about Konstantin Kholodilin

Access statistics for papers by Konstantin Kholodilin.

Last updated 2013-06-18. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pkh17

Working Papers

2013

1. A Market Screening Model for Price Inconstancies: Empirical Evidence from German Electricity Markets
   Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research

2012

2. An early warning system to predict the speculative house price bubbles
   Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy
3. Forecasting the Prices and Rents for Flats in Large German Cities
   Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research
4. Internet Offer Prices for Flats and Their Determinants: A Cross Section of Large European Cities
   Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research
5. Internet-Based Hedonic Indices of Rents and Prices for Flats: Example of Berlin
   Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research View citations (2)
6. Measuring Regional Inequality by Internet Car Price Advertisements: Evidence for Germany
   ERSA conference papers, European Regional Science Association
   Also in KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich (2010)
   Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research (2010) View citations (1)
   See also Journal Article in Economics Letters (2012)
7. Noise Expectation and House Prices
   Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research

2011

8. An Early Warning System to Predict the House Price Bubbles
   Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research View citations (4)
9. Are Geese Flying by Themselves inside China? An LSTR-SEM Approach to Income Convergence of Chinese Counties
   Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research
10. Can Internet Ads Serve as an Indicator of Homeownership Rates?
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research View citations (2)
11. Do Regions with Entrepreneurial Neighbors Perform Better? A Spatial Econometric Approach for German Regions
    ERSA conference papers, European Regional Science Association View citations (1)
    Also in Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research (2011)
12. In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Prediction of Stock Market Bubbles: Cross-Sectional Evidence
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research
13. The Shadow Economy in OECD Countries: Panel-Data Evidence
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research
14. Using Personal Car Register for Measuring Economic Inequality in Countries with a Large Share of Shadow Economy: Evidence for Latvia
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research
    Also in KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich (2011)
15. What drives regional business cycles? The role of common and spatial components
    ERSA conference papers, European Regional Science Association View citations (4)
    See also Journal Article in Manchester School (2011)

2010

16. Assessing the Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases for Now-/Forecasting GDP: Evidence for Switzerland
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research View citations (4)
    Also in KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich (2010) View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik) (2012)
17. Do Google Searches Help in Nowcasting Private Consumption? A Real-Time Evidence for the US
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich View citations (2)
    Also in Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research (2010) View citations (3)
18. Forecasting Private Consumption by Consumer Surveys
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Forecasting (2013)
19. How helpful are spatial effects in forecasting the growth of Chinese provinces?
    BOFIT Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Forecasting (2011)
20. The Influence of Collusion on Price Changes: New Evidence from Major Cartel Cases
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article in German Economic Review (2012)

2009

21. Common and Spatial Drivers in Regional Business Cycles
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2009)
    SERC Discussion Papers, Spatial Economics Research Centre, LSE (2009)
    Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series, Economics, The Univeristy of Manchester (2009)
22. Do Forecasters Inform or Reassure?: Evaluation of the German Real-Time Data
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research View citations (2)
    Also in KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich (2009)
    See also Journal Article in Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik) (2009)
23. Does Accounting for Spatial Effects Help Forecasting the Growth of Chinese Provinces?
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research
24. Google Searches as a Means of Improving the Nowcasts of Key Macroeconomic Variables
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research
25. Incentive Effects of Fiscal Equalization: Has Russian Style Improved?
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research
26. The Russian Regional Convergence Process: Where Does It Go?
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research View citations (3)
    Also in KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich (2009) View citations (2)

2008

27. Assessing the Impact of the ECB's Monetary Policy on the Stock Markets: A Sectoral View
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research View citations (1)
    Also in KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich (2008)
    See also Journal Article in Economics Letters (2009)
28. Does Aging Influence Sectoral Employment Shares? Evidence from Panel Datak
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich
    Also in Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research (2008) View citations (1)

2007

29. A Dynamic Panel Data Approach to the Forecasting of the GDP of German Länder
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research View citations (12)
    See also Journal Article in Spatial Economic Analysis (2008)
30. Price Convergence in the Enlarged Internal Market
    CASE Network Reports, CASE-Center for Social and Economic Research View citations (1)
    Also in European Economy - Economic Papers, Directorate General Economic and Monetary Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission (2007) View citations (1)
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research (2007) View citations (4)
31. Using the Dynamic Bi-Factor Model with Markov Switching to Predict the Cyclical Turns in the Large European Economies
    Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006, Money Macro and Finance Research Group
    Also in Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research (2006)
32. What Drives Housing Prices Down?: Evidence from an International Panel
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik) (2010)

2006

33. On Selection of Components for a Diffusion Index Model: It's not the Size, It's How You Use It
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research View citations (3)
34. The Effect of Economic Reforms of 1980s and of the Customs Union 1996 upon the Turkish Intra-Industry Trade
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research
35. What Affects the Remittances of Turkish Workers: Turkish or German Output?
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research View citations (2)

2005

36. Forecasting the Turns of German Business Cycle: Dynamic Bi-factor Model with Markov Switching
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research
37. Identifying and Forecasting the Turning Points of the Belgian Business Cycle with Regime-Switching and Logit Models
    Discussion Papers (ECON - Département des Sciences Economiques), Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques View citations (1)
38. North-South Asymmetric Relationships: Does the EMU Business Affect Small African Economies ?
    Discussion Papers (ECON - Département des Sciences Economiques), Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques
39. On the Forecasting Properties of the Alternative Leading Indicators for the German GDP: Recent Evidence
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research View citations (15)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik) (2006)

2004

40. Business Cycle Turning Points: Mixed-Frequency Data with Structural Breaks
    Discussion Papers (IRES - Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales), Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES)

2003

41. Dating and Forecasting the Belgian Business Cycle
    Discussion Papers (IRES - Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales), Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES) View citations (2)
42. Identifying and Forecasting the Turns of the Japanese Business Cycle
    Discussion Papers (IRES - Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales), Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES)

2002

43. Dealing with Structural Changes in the Common Dynamic Factor Model: Deterministic Mechanism
    Discussion Papers (IRES - Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales), Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES)
44. Stylized Facts Test for the Signal-Extraction Techniques
    Discussion Papers (IRES - Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales), Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES)
45. Two Alternative Approaches to Modelling the Nonlinear Dynamics of the Composite Economic Indicator
    Discussion Papers (IRES - Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales), Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES) View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Economics Bulletin (2002)
46. Unobserved Leading and Coincident Common Factors in the Post-War U.S. Business Cycle
    Discussion Papers (IRES - Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales), Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES)

2001

47. Markov-Switching Common Dynamic Factor Model with Mixed-Frequency Data
    Discussion Papers (IRES - Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales), Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES) View citations (2)

Journal Articles

2013

1. An early warning system to predict speculative house price bubbles
   Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, 2013, 7, (8), 1-26
2. Forecasting Private Consumption by Consumer Surveys
   Journal of Forecasting, 2013, 32, (1), 10-18
   See also Working Paper (2010)
3. Real Estate Booms and Price Bubbles: What Can Germany Learn from Other Countries?
   DIW Economic Bulletin, 2013, 3, (6), 16-23
4. Zwischen Immobilienboom und Preisblasen: was kann Deutschland von anderen Ländern lernen?
   DIW Wochenbericht, 2013, 80, (17), 3-10

2012

5. Assessing the Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases for Now-/Forecasting GDP: Evidence for Switzerland
   Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), 2012, 232, (4), 429-444
   See also Working Paper (2010)
6. Ein Instrument zur Messung der Preisentwicklung auf dem Wohnungsmarkt: das Beispiel Berlin
   DIW Wochenbericht, 2012, 79, (16), 3-10
7. Erwartete Lärmbelastung durch Großflughafen mindert Immobilienpreise im Berliner Süden
   DIW Wochenbericht, 2012, 79, (37), 3-9
8. German Cities to See Further Rises in Housing Prices and Rents in 2013
   DIW Economic Bulletin, 2012, 2, (12), 16-26
9. Measuring regional inequality by internet car price advertisements: Evidence for Germany
   Economics Letters, 2012, 116, (3), 414-417
   See also Working Paper (2012)
10. The Influence of Collusion on Price Changes: New Evidence from Major Cartel Cases
    German Economic Review, 2012, 13, (3), 245-256 View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2010)
11. The Russian Regional Convergence Process
    Eastern European Economics, 2012, 50, (3), 5-26
12. Wohnungspreise und Mieten steigen 2013 in vielen deutschen Großstädten weiter
    DIW Wochenbericht, 2012, 79, (45), 3-13

2011

13. Does aging influence structural change? Evidence from panel data
    Economic Systems, 2011, 35, (2), 244-260 View citations (1)
14. How helpful are spatial effects in forecasting the growth of Chinese provinces?
    Journal of Forecasting, 2011, 30, (7), 622-643
    See also Working Paper (2010)
15. Incentive Effects of Fiscal Equalization
    Eastern European Economics, 2011, 49, (2), 5-29
16. Speculative Bubble on Housing Markets: Elements of an Early Warning System
    DIW Economic Bulletin, 2011, 1, (4), 3-9
17. Spekulative Preisentwicklung an den Immobilienmärkten: Elemente eines Frühwarnsystems
    DIW Wochenbericht, 2011, 78, (37/38), 2-9
18. Verbraucherumfragen für Konsumprognosen besser nutzen
    DIW Wochenbericht, 2011, 78, (28), 3-8
19. WHAT DRIVES REGIONAL BUSINESS CYCLES? THE ROLE OF COMMON AND SPATIAL COMPONENTS
    Manchester School, 2011, 79, (5), 1035-1044 View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper (2011)

2010

20. Regionale Unterschiede in China: Konvergenz noch zu schwach
    DIW Wochenbericht, 2010, 77, (25), 11-14
21. What Drives Housing Prices Down? Evidence from an International Panel
    Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), 2010, 230, (1), 59-76 View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper (2007)

2009

22. Assessing the impact of the ECB's monetary policy on the stock markets: A sectoral view
    Economics Letters, 2009, 105, (3), 211-213 View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (2008)
23. Do Forecasters Inform or Reassure? Evaluation of the German Real-Time Data
    Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), 2009, 55, (4), 269-294 View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2009)
24. Geben Konjunkturprognosen eine gute Orientierung?
    DIW Wochenbericht, 2009, 76, (13), 207-213 View citations (2)
25. Konjunkturelle Frühindikatoren in der Krise: weiche Faktoren stärker als harte
    DIW Wochenbericht, 2009, 76, (21), 348-354
26. Regionale Konjunkturunterschiede kein Hinderungsgrund für Geldpolitik im Euroraum
    DIW Wochenbericht, 2009, 76, (46), 806-809

2008

27. A Dynamic Panel Data Approach to the Forecasting of the GDP of German Länder
    Spatial Economic Analysis, 2008, 3, (2), 195-207
    See also Working Paper (2007)
28. A Link Between Workers' Remittances and Business Cycles in Germany and Turkey
    Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 2008, 44, (5), 23-40 View citations (4)
29. Immobilienkrise?: Warum in Deutschland die Preise seit Jahren stagnieren
    DIW Wochenbericht, 2008, 75, (17), 214-220 View citations (1)
30. Konjunkturprognosen für Bundesländer setzen Verbesserung der Datensituation voraus
    DIW Wochenbericht, 2008, 75, (24), 318-325 View citations (4)
31. Price Convergence in an Enlarged Internal Market
    Eastern European Economics, 2008, 46, (5), 57-68 View citations (1)

2007

32. Dem Konjunkturzyklus auf der Spur: zur Prognose konjunktureller Wendepunkte in Deutschland
    Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, 2007, 76, (4), 8-20
33. Preiskonvergenz in der erweiterten Europäischen Union
    DIW Wochenbericht, 2007, 74, (38), 557-561
34. Prognosen der regionalen Konjunkturentwicklung
    Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, 2007, 76, (4), 47-55 View citations (3)
    Also in DIW Wochenbericht, 2006, 73, (34), 469-474 (2006) View citations (4)

2006

35. Modelling the structural break in volatility
    Applied Economics Letters, 2006, 13, (7), 417-422 View citations (1)
36. On the Forecasting Properties of the Alternative Leading Indicators for the German GDP: Recent Evidence
    Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), 2006, 226, (3), 234-259 View citations (8)
    See also Working Paper (2005)

2005

37. Forecasting the German Cyclical Turning Points: Dynamic Bi-Factor Model with Markov Switching
    Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), 2005, 225, (6), 653-674
38. Measuring and predicting turning points using a dynamic bi-factor model
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2005, 21, (3), 525-537 View citations (8)

2003

39. US composite economic indicator with nonlinear dynamics and the data subject to structural breaks
    Applied Economics Letters, 2003, 10, (6), 363-372

2002

40. Predicting the Cyclical Phases of the Post-War U.S. Leading and Coincident Indicators
    Economics Bulletin, 2002, 3, (5), 1-15
41. Secular Volatility Decline of the U.S. Composite Economic Indicator
    Applied Econometrics and International Development, 2002, 2, (2)
42. Some Evidence of Decreasing Volatility of the US Coincident Economic Indicator
    Economics Bulletin, 2002, 3, (20), 1-20
43. Two Alternative Approaches to Modelling the Nonlinear Dynamics of the Composite Economic Indicator
    Economics Bulletin, 2002, 3, (26), 1-18
    See also Working Paper (2002)

2001

44. Latent Leading and Coincident Factors Model with Markov-Switching Dynamics
    Economics Bulletin, 2001, 3, (7), 1-13 View citations (5)