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Details about Konstantin Kholodilin

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Homepage:http://www.diw.de/de/diw_01.c.100376.de/ueber_uns/menschen_am_diw_berlin/mitarbeiter/innen/mitarbeiter/innen.html?id=diw_01.c.10842.de&sprache=de
Workplace:DIW Berlin (Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung) (German Institute for Economic Research (DIW)), (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Konstantin Kholodilin.

Last updated 2014-11-13. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pkh17


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Working Papers

2014

  1. Are the Economic Sanctions against Russia Effective?
    DIW Roundup: Politik im Fokus, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads
  2. Business Confidence and Forecasting of Housing Prices and Rents in Large German Cities
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads
  3. Do Media Data Help to Predict German Industrial Production?
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads
    Also in DICE Discussion Papers, Heinrich‐Heine‐Universität Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics (DICE) (2014) Downloads
  4. Similar Challenges - Different Responses: Housing Policy in Germany and Russia between the Two World Wars
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads
  5. Speculative Price Bubbles in Urban Housing Markets in Germany
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads
  6. The Market Value of Energy Efficiency in Buildings and the Mode of Tenure
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads
  7. Uncertainty of Macroeconomic Forecasters and the Prediction of Stock Market Bubbles
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads

2013

  1. A Market Screening Model for Price Inconstancies: Empirical Evidence from German Electricity Markets
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads

2012

  1. An early warning system to predict the speculative house price bubbles
    Economics Discussion Papers, Kiel Institute for the World Economy Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Forecasting the Prices and Rents for Flats in Large German Cities
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (3)
  3. Internet Offer Prices for Flats and Their Determinants: A Cross Section of Large European Cities
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads
  4. Internet-Based Hedonic Indices of Rents and Prices for Flats: Example of Berlin
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (2)
  5. Measuring Regional Inequality by Internet Car Price Advertisements: Evidence for Germany
    ERSA conference papers, European Regional Science Association Downloads
    Also in KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich (2010) Downloads
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research (2010) Downloads View citations (1)

    See also Journal Article in Economics Letters (2012)
  6. Noise Expectation and House Prices
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads

2011

  1. A 71 Sector CGE Model for Germany
    EcoMod2011, EcoMod Downloads
  2. An Early Warning System to Predict the House Price Bubbles
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (4)
  3. Are Geese Flying by Themselves inside China? An LSTR-SEM Approach to Income Convergence of Chinese Counties
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads
  4. Can Internet Ads Serve as an Indicator of Homeownership Rates?
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (3)
  5. Do Regions with Entrepreneurial Neighbors Perform Better? A Spatial Econometric Approach for German Regions
    ERSA conference papers, European Regional Science Association Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research (2011) Downloads

    See also Journal Article in Regional Studies (2014)
  6. In-Sample and Out-of-Sample Prediction of Stock Market Bubbles: Cross-Sectional Evidence
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Forecasting (2014)
  7. The Shadow Economy in OECD Countries: Panel-Data Evidence
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads
  8. Using Personal Car Register for Measuring Economic Inequality in Countries with a Large Share of Shadow Economy: Evidence for Latvia
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads
    Also in KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich (2011) Downloads
  9. What drives regional business cycles? The role of common and spatial components
    ERSA conference papers, European Regional Science Association Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article in Manchester School (2011)

2010

  1. Assessing the Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases for Now-/Forecasting GDP: Evidence for Switzerland
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (5)
    Also in KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich (2010) Downloads View citations (3)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik) (2012)
  2. Do Google Searches Help in Nowcasting Private Consumption? A Real-Time Evidence for the US
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Downloads View citations (7)
    Also in Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research (2010) Downloads View citations (13)
  3. Forecasting Private Consumption by Consumer Surveys
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Forecasting (2013)
  4. How helpful are spatial effects in forecasting the growth of Chinese provinces?
    BOFIT Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Forecasting (2011)
  5. The Influence of Collusion on Price Changes: New Evidence from Major Cartel Cases
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article in German Economic Review (2012)

2009

  1. Common and Spatial Drivers in Regional Business Cycles
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2009) Downloads View citations (1)
    Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series, Economics, The Univeristy of Manchester (2009) Downloads View citations (1)
    SERC Discussion Papers, Spatial Economics Research Centre, LSE (2009) Downloads View citations (1)
  2. Do Forecasters Inform or Reassure?: Evaluation of the German Real-Time Data
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (4)
    Also in KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich (2009) Downloads View citations (1)

    See also Journal Article in Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik) (2009)
  3. Does Accounting for Spatial Effects Help Forecasting the Growth of Chinese Provinces?
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (1)
  4. Google Searches as a Means of Improving the Nowcasts of Key Macroeconomic Variables
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (1)
  5. Incentive Effects of Fiscal Equalization: Has Russian Style Improved?
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (2)
  6. The Russian Regional Convergence Process: Where Does It Go?
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (4)
    Also in KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich (2009) Downloads View citations (5)

2008

  1. Assessing the Impact of the ECB's Monetary Policy on the Stock Markets: A Sectoral View
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich (2008) Downloads

    See also Journal Article in Economics Letters (2009)
  2. Does Aging Influence Sectoral Employment Shares? Evidence from Panel Datak
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Downloads
    Also in Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research (2008) Downloads View citations (1)

2007

  1. A Dynamic Panel Data Approach to the Forecasting of the GDP of German Länder
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (20)
    See also Journal Article in Spatial Economic Analysis (2008)
  2. Price Convergence in the Enlarged Internal Market
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (4)
    Also in European Economy - Economic Papers, Directorate General Economic and Monetary Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission (2007) Downloads View citations (3)
    CASE Network Reports, CASE-Center for Social and Economic Research (2007) Downloads View citations (1)
  3. Using the Dynamic Bi-Factor Model with Markov Switching to Predict the Cyclical Turns in the Large European Economies
    Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006, Money Macro and Finance Research Group Downloads
    Also in Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research (2006) Downloads
  4. What Drives Housing Prices Down?: Evidence from an International Panel
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik) (2010)

2006

  1. On Selection of Components for a Diffusion Index Model: It's not the Size, It's How You Use It
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (3)
  2. The Effect of Economic Reforms of 1980s and of the Customs Union 1996 upon the Turkish Intra-Industry Trade
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads
  3. What Affects the Remittances of Turkish Workers: Turkish or German Output?
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (3)

2005

  1. Forecasting the Turns of German Business Cycle: Dynamic Bi-factor Model with Markov Switching
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads
  2. Identifying and Forecasting the Turning Points of the Belgian Business Cycle with Regime-Switching and Logit Models
    Discussion Papers (ECON - Département des Sciences Economiques), Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques Downloads View citations (2)
  3. North-South Asymmetric Relationships: Does the EMU Business Affect Small African Economies ?
    Discussion Papers (ECON - Département des Sciences Economiques), Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques Downloads
  4. On the Forecasting Properties of the Alternative Leading Indicators for the German GDP: Recent Evidence
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (16)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik) (2006)

2004

  1. Business Cycle Turning Points: Mixed-Frequency Data with Structural Breaks
    Discussion Papers (IRES - Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales), Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES) Downloads

2003

  1. Dating and Forecasting the Belgian Business Cycle
    Discussion Papers (IRES - Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales), Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES) Downloads View citations (3)
  2. Identifying and Forecasting the Turns of the Japanese Business Cycle
    Discussion Papers (IRES - Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales), Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES) Downloads

2002

  1. Dealing with Structural Changes in the Common Dynamic Factor Model: Deterministic Mechanism
    Discussion Papers (IRES - Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales), Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES) Downloads
  2. Stylized Facts Test for the Signal-Extraction Techniques
    Discussion Papers (IRES - Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales), Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES) Downloads
  3. Two Alternative Approaches to Modelling the Nonlinear Dynamics of the Composite Economic Indicator
    Discussion Papers (IRES - Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales), Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES) Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article in Economics Bulletin (2002)
  4. Unobserved Leading and Coincident Common Factors in the Post-War U.S. Business Cycle
    Discussion Papers (IRES - Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales), Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES) Downloads

2001

  1. Markov-Switching Common Dynamic Factor Model with Mixed-Frequency Data
    Discussion Papers (IRES - Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales), Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES) Downloads View citations (2)

Undated

  1. Economic Impact of a Potential FTA Between EU and ASEAN on the German Economy
    EcoMod2008, EcoMod Downloads

Journal Articles

2014

  1. Do Regions with Entrepreneurial Neighbours Perform Better? A Spatial Econometric Approach for German Regions
    Regional Studies, 2014, 48, (5), 866-882 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2011)
  2. In‐Sample and Out‐of‐Sample Prediction of stock Market Bubbles: Cross‐Sectional Evidence
    Journal of Forecasting, 2014, 33, (1), 15-31 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2011)
  3. Mietpreisbremse: Wohnungsmarktregulierung bringt mehr Schaden als Nutzen
    DIW Wochenbericht, 2014, 81, (15), 319-327 Downloads
  4. Noise expectations and house prices: the reaction of property prices to an airport expansion
    The Annals of Regional Science, 2014, 52, (3), 763-797 Downloads

2013

  1. An early warning system to predict speculative house price bubbles
    Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, 2013, 7, 1-26 Downloads
  2. Forecasting Private Consumption by Consumer Surveys
    Journal of Forecasting, 2013, 32, (1), 10-18
    See also Working Paper (2010)
  3. Real Estate Booms and Price Bubbles: What Can Germany Learn from Other Countries?
    DIW Economic Bulletin, 2013, 3, (6), 16-23 Downloads
  4. Wohnimmobilien in Großstädten: Kaufpreise steigen auch 2014 schneller als Mieten
    DIW Wochenbericht, 2013, 80, (49), 23-31 Downloads
  5. Zwischen Immobilienboom und Preisblasen: was kann Deutschland von anderen Ländern lernen?
    DIW Wochenbericht, 2013, 80, (17), 3-10 Downloads

2012

  1. Assessing the Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases for Now-/Forecasting GDP: Evidence for Switzerland
    Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), 2012, 232, (4), 429-444 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2010)
  2. Ein Instrument zur Messung der Preisentwicklung auf dem Wohnungsmarkt: das Beispiel Berlin
    DIW Wochenbericht, 2012, 79, (16), 3-10 Downloads
  3. Erwartete Lärmbelastung durch Großflughafen mindert Immobilienpreise im Berliner Süden
    DIW Wochenbericht, 2012, 79, (37), 3-9 Downloads
  4. German Cities to See Further Rises in Housing Prices and Rents in 2013
    DIW Economic Bulletin, 2012, 2, (12), 16-26 Downloads
  5. Measuring regional inequality by internet car price advertisements: Evidence for Germany
    Economics Letters, 2012, 116, (3), 414-417 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2012)
  6. The Influence of Collusion on Price Changes: New Evidence from Major Cartel Cases
    German Economic Review, 2012, 13, (3), 245-256 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper (2010)
  7. The Russian Regional Convergence Process
    Eastern European Economics, 2012, 50, (3), 5-26 Downloads View citations (3)
  8. The effect of the economic reforms of the 1980s and the Customs Union Agreement of 1996 upon the Turkish intra-industry trade
    International Journal of Trade and Global Markets, 2012, 5, (2), 107-118 Downloads
  9. Wohnungspreise und Mieten steigen 2013 in vielen deutschen Großstädten weiter
    DIW Wochenbericht, 2012, 79, (45), 3-13 Downloads

2011

  1. Does aging influence structural change? Evidence from panel data
    Economic Systems, 2011, 35, (2), 244-260 Downloads View citations (3)
  2. How helpful are spatial effects in forecasting the growth of Chinese provinces?
    Journal of Forecasting, 2011, 30, (7), 622-643 Downloads
    See also Working Paper (2010)
  3. Incentive Effects of Fiscal Equalization
    Eastern European Economics, 2011, 49, (2), 5-29 Downloads View citations (1)
  4. Speculative Bubble on Housing Markets: Elements of an Early Warning System
    DIW Economic Bulletin, 2011, 1, (4), 3-9 Downloads
  5. Spekulative Preisentwicklung an den Immobilienmärkten: Elemente eines Frühwarnsystems
    DIW Wochenbericht, 2011, 78, (37/38), 2-9 Downloads
  6. Verbraucherumfragen für Konsumprognosen besser nutzen
    DIW Wochenbericht, 2011, 78, (28), 3-8 Downloads
  7. WHAT DRIVES REGIONAL BUSINESS CYCLES? THE ROLE OF COMMON AND SPATIAL COMPONENTS
    Manchester School, 2011, 79, (5), 1035-1044 Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper (2011)

2010

  1. Regionale Unterschiede in China: Konvergenz noch zu schwach
    DIW Wochenbericht, 2010, 77, (25), 11-14 Downloads
  2. What Drives Housing Prices Down? Evidence from an International Panel
    Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), 2010, 230, (1), 59-76 Downloads View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper (2007)

2009

  1. Assessing the impact of the ECB's monetary policy on the stock markets: A sectoral view
    Economics Letters, 2009, 105, (3), 211-213 Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Working Paper (2008)
  2. Do Forecasters Inform or Reassure? Evaluation of the German Real-Time Data
    Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), 2009, 55, (4), 269-294 View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper (2009)
  3. Geben Konjunkturprognosen eine gute Orientierung?
    DIW Wochenbericht, 2009, 76, (13), 207-213 Downloads View citations (2)
  4. Konjunkturelle Frühindikatoren in der Krise: weiche Faktoren stärker als harte
    DIW Wochenbericht, 2009, 76, (21), 348-354 Downloads
  5. Regionale Konjunkturunterschiede kein Hinderungsgrund für Geldpolitik im Euroraum
    DIW Wochenbericht, 2009, 76, (46), 806-809 Downloads

2008

  1. A Dynamic Panel Data Approach to the Forecasting of the GDP of German Länder
    Spatial Economic Analysis, 2008, 3, (2), 195-207 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper (2007)
  2. A Link Between Workers' Remittances and Business Cycles in Germany and Turkey
    Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 2008, 44, (5), 23-40 Downloads View citations (8)
  3. Immobilienkrise?: Warum in Deutschland die Preise seit Jahren stagnieren
    DIW Wochenbericht, 2008, 75, (17), 214-220 Downloads View citations (1)
  4. Konjunkturprognosen für Bundesländer setzen Verbesserung der Datensituation voraus
    DIW Wochenbericht, 2008, 75, (24), 318-325 Downloads View citations (4)
  5. Price Convergence in an Enlarged Internal Market
    Eastern European Economics, 2008, 46, (5), 57-68 Downloads View citations (1)

2007

  1. Dem Konjunkturzyklus auf der Spur: zur Prognose konjunktureller Wendepunkte in Deutschland
    Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, 2007, 76, (4), 8-20 Downloads
  2. Preiskonvergenz in der erweiterten Europäischen Union
    DIW Wochenbericht, 2007, 74, (38), 557-561 Downloads
  3. Prognosen der regionalen Konjunkturentwicklung
    Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, 2007, 76, (4), 47-55 Downloads View citations (7)
    Also in DIW Wochenbericht, 2006, 73, (34), 469-474 (2006) Downloads View citations (7)

2006

  1. Modelling the structural break in volatility
    Applied Economics Letters, 2006, 13, (7), 417-422 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. On the Forecasting Properties of the Alternative Leading Indicators for the German GDP: Recent Evidence
    Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), 2006, 226, (3), 234-259 Downloads View citations (13)
    See also Working Paper (2005)

2005

  1. Forecasting the German Cyclical Turning Points: Dynamic Bi-Factor Model with Markov Switching
    Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), 2005, 225, (6), 653-674 Downloads
  2. Measuring and predicting turning points using a dynamic bi-factor model
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2005, 21, (3), 525-537 Downloads View citations (11)

2003

  1. US composite economic indicator with nonlinear dynamics and the data subject to structural breaks
    Applied Economics Letters, 2003, 10, (6), 363-372 Downloads

2002

  1. Predicting the Cyclical Phases of the Post-War U.S. Leading and Coincident Indicators
    Economics Bulletin, 2002, 3, (5), 1-15 Downloads
  2. Secular Volatility Decline of the U.S. Composite Economic Indicator
    Applied Econometrics and International Development, 2002, 2, (2) Downloads
  3. Some Evidence of Decreasing Volatility of the US Coincident Economic Indicator
    Economics Bulletin, 2002, 3, (20), 1-20 Downloads
  4. Two Alternative Approaches to Modelling the Nonlinear Dynamics of the Composite Economic Indicator
    Economics Bulletin, 2002, 3, (26), 1-18 Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper (2002)

2001

  1. Latent Leading and Coincident Factors Model with Markov-Switching Dynamics
    Economics Bulletin, 2001, 3, (7), 1-13 Downloads View citations (5)
 
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