Details about Charles Manski

E-mail:
Homepage:	http://www.faculty.econ.northwestern.edu/faculty/manski/
Phone:	1-847-491-8223
Postal address:	Department of Economics, Northwestern University, 2001 Sheridan Road, Evanston, IL 60208 U.S.A.
Workplace:	Department of Economics, Northwestern University, (more information at EDIRC) Institute for Policy Research (IPR), Northwestern University, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Charles Manski.

Last updated 2009-07-16. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pma111

---

Jump to Journal Articles Chapters

Working Papers

2009

1. WHEN CONSENSUS CHOICE DOMINATES INDIVIDUALISM: Jensen's Inequality and Collective Decisions under Uncertainty
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

2008

2. Adaptive partial policy innovation: coping with ambiguity through diversification
   CeMMAP working papers, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies View citations
3. Competitive Lending with Partial Knowledge of Loan Repayment
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
4. Partial Prescriptions For Decisions With Partial Knowledge
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
5. Using Elicited Choice Probabilities to Estimate Random Utility Models: Preferences for Electricity Reliability
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
   Also in CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2008)

2007

6. Adaptive Minimax-Regret Treatment Choice, With Application To Drug Approval
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
   Also in Levine's Working Paper Archive, David K. Levine (2007)

2006

7. Comparing the Point Predictions and Subjective Probability Distributions of Professional Forecasters
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
   See also Journal Article in Journal of Business & Economic Statistics (2009)

2005

8. Fractional Treatment Rules for Social Diversification of Indivisible Private Risks
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
9. Measuring and Interpreting Expectations of Equity Returns
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
10. Search Profiling with Partial Knowledge of Deterrence
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
    See also Journal Article in Economic Journal (2006)

2004

11. Interpreting the Predictions of Prediction Markets
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
    See also Journal Article in Economics Letters (2006)
12. Walk or Wait? An Empirical Analysis of Street Crossing Decisions
    GSIA Working Papers, Carnegie Mellon University, Tepper School of Business
    Also in Indian Statistical Institute, Planning Unit, New Delhi Discussion Papers, Indian Statistical Institute, New Delhi, India (2003)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Applied Econometrics (2005)

2003

13. "Will Social Security Be There For You?": How Americans Perceive Their Benefits
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
14. Confidence intervals for partially identified parameters
    CeMMAP working papers, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies View citations
    See also Journal Article in Econometrica (2004)
15. How Should We Measure Consumer Confidence (Sentiment)? Evidence from the Michigan Survey of Consumers
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
16. Statistical treatment rules for heterogeneous populations
    CeMMAP working papers, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies View citations
    See also Journal Article in Econometrica (2004)

2002

17. Private and Social Incentives for Fertility: Israeli Puzzles
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
18. Social Security Expectations and Retirement Savings Decisions
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
    Also in JCPR Working Papers, Northwestern University/University of Chicago Joint Center for Poverty Research (2002) View citations

2000

19. Economic Analysis of Social Interactions
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Perspectives (2000)
20. Regressions, Short and Long
    Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers, Econometric Society View citations
    See also Journal Article in Econometrica (2002)
21. Using Studies of Treatment Response to Inform Treatment Choice in Heterogeneous Populations
    NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations

1999

22. Statistical Treatment Rules for Heterogeneous Populations: With Application to Randomized Experiments
    NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
23. Worker Perceptions of Job Insecurity in the Mid-1990s: Evidence from the Survey of Economic Expectations
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
    Also in IPR working papers, Institute for Policy Resarch at Northwestern University

1998

24. Monotone Instrumental Variables with an Application to the Returns to Schooling
    NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
    Also in Virginia Economics Online Papers, University of Virginia, Department of Economics (1998) View citations
    See also Journal Article in Econometrica (2000)

1997

25. Nonparametric Analysis of Randomized Experiments With Missing Covariate and Outcome Data
    Working Papers, University of Iowa, Department of Economics View citations

1996

26. Bounding Disagreements About Treatment Effects: A Case Study of Sentencing and Recidivism
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations
    Also in Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (1995) View citations
27. Censoring of Outcomes and Regressors Due To Survey Nonresponse: Identification and Estimation Using Weights and Imputations
    Econometrics, EconWPA View citations
    Also in Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (1995) View citations
    Working Papers, University of Iowa, Department of Economics (1995) View citations
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Econometrics (1998)
28. Identification of Anonymous Endogenous Interactions
    Working Papers, Santa Fe Institute View citations
29. Monotone Treatment Response
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations
    See also Journal Article in Econometrica (1997)
30. Perceptions of Economic Insecurity: Evidence from the Survey of Economic Expectations
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
    Also in Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (1996) View citations
    Institute for Research on Poverty Discussion Papers, University of Wisconsin Institute for Research on Poverty View citations
31. Treatment Under Amibiguity
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems
    Also in Working Papers, Santa Fe Institute (1996) View citations

1995

32. Learning About Social Programs from Experiments with Random Assignment of Treatments
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations
    Also in Institute for Research on Poverty Discussion Papers, University of Wisconsin Institute for Research on Poverty View citations
33. Review Article: The Bell Curve by Herrnstein and Murray
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations
34. What Can Be Learned About Population Parameters when the Data Are Contaminated
    Working Papers, University of Iowa, Department of Economics View citations

1994

35. ELICITING STUDENT EXPECTATIONS OF THE RETURNS TO SCHOOLING
    Econometrics, EconWPA View citations
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1994) View citations
    Institute for Research on Poverty Discussion Papers, University of Wisconsin Institute for Research on Poverty View citations
36. JOINT CENSORING OF REGRESSORS AND OUTCOMES:SURVEY NONRESPONSE AND ATTRITION
    Econometrics, EconWPA
    Also in Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (1994)
37. SIMULTANEITY WITH DOWNWARD SLOPING DEMAND
    Econometrics, EconWPA
    Also in Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (1994)
    Working Papers, Humboldt University, Sonderforschungsbereich 373
38. Using Expectations Data to Study Subjective Income Expectations
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
    Also in Econometrics, EconWPA (1994) View citations
    Institute for Research on Poverty Discussion Papers, University of Wisconsin Institute for Research on Poverty View citations

1993

39. Identification from Response-Based Samples
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems
40. The Mixing Problem in Program Evaluation
    NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations
    See also Journal Article in Review of Economic Studies (1997)
41. What Do Controlled Experiments Reveal About Outcomes When Treatments Vary?
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems
    Also in Institute for Research on Poverty Discussion Papers, University of Wisconsin Institute for Research on Poverty

1992

42. Identification Problems in the Social Sciences
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations
43. Identification and Robustness in the Presence of Errors in Data
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems
    Also in Working Papers, University of Iowa, Department of Economics (1992) View citations

1991

44. Adolescent Econometricians: How Do Youth Infer the Returns to Schooling
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations
    See also Chapter (1993)
45. Identification of Endogenous Social Effects: the Reflection Problem
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations
    See also Journal Article in Review of Economic Studies (1993)

1990

46. ALTERNATIVE ESTIMATES OF THE EFFECT OF FAMILY STUCTURE DURING ADOLESCENCE ON HIGHT SCHOOL GRADUATION
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations
47. DYNAMIC CHOICE IN A SOCIAL SETTING
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations
48. SEVERITY OF SELECTION PROBLEM IN THE ABSENCE OF PRIOR INFORMATION
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems
49. THE SELECTION PROBLEM
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations
50. The Identification problem Under Contaminated Sampling
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems

1989

51. ESTIMATION OF BEST PREDICTORS OF BENARY RESPONSE
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Econometrics (1989)
52. NONPARAMETRIC BOUNDS ON TREATMENT EFFECTS
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations
    See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (1990)
53. REGRESSION
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Literature (1991)
54. THE LOGIC MODEL AND RESPONSE-BASED SAMPLES
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems
    Also in Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems (1988)
55. THE USE OF INTENTIONS DATA TO PREDICT BEHAVIOUR: A BEST- CASE ANALYSIS
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations

1988

56. ORDINAL UTILITY MODELS OF DECISION MAKING UNDER UNCERTAINTY
    Working papers, Wisconsin Madison - Social Systems View citations

1985

57. Academic Ability, Earnings, and the Decision to Become a Teacher: Evidence From the National Longitudinal Study of the High School Class of 1972
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
    See also Chapter (1987)

Undated

58. Educational choice (vouchers) and social mobility
    Institute for Research on Poverty Discussion Papers, University of Wisconsin Institute for Research on Poverty View citations
    See also Journal Article in Economics of Education Review (1992)
59. Perceptions of economic vulnerability: First evidence from the survey of economic expectations
    Institute for Research on Poverty Discussion Papers, University of Wisconsin Institute for Research on Poverty
60. Probabilistic Polling
    IPR working papers, Institute for Policy Resarch at Northwestern University
61. Using Performance Standards to Evaluate Social Programs with Incomplete Outcome Data: General Issues and Application to a Higher Education Block Grant Program
    IPR working papers, Institute for Policy Resarch at Northwestern University

Journal Articles

2009

1. Comparing the Point Predictions and Subjective Probability Distributions of Professional Forecasters
   Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2009, 27, 30-41
   See also Working Paper (2006)
2. More on monotone instrumental variables
   Econometrics Journal, 2009, 12, (s1), S200-S216 View citations
3. Social Planning with Partial Knowledge of Social Interactions
   Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics (JITE), 2009, 165, (1), 146-158

2007

4. ECONOMICS TO ECONOMETRICS: IN HONOR OF DANIEL L. McFADDEN
   International Economic Review, 2007, 48, (4), 1091-1092
5. Expected Equity Returns and Portfolio Choice: Evidence from the Health and Retirement Study
   Journal of the European Economic Association, 2007, 5, (2-3), 369-379 View citations
6. Minimax-regret treatment choice with missing outcome data
   Journal of Econometrics, 2007, 139, (1), 105-115 View citations
7. PARTIAL IDENTIFICATION OF COUNTERFACTUAL CHOICE PROBABILITIES
   International Economic Review, 2007, 48, (4), 1393-1410 View citations

2006

8. Identification and estimation of statistical functionals using incomplete data
   Journal of Econometrics, 2006, 132, (2), 445-459 View citations
9. Interpreting the predictions of prediction markets
   Economics Letters, 2006, 91, (3), 425-429
   See also Working Paper (2004)
10. Measuring Pension-benefit Expectations Probabilistically
    LABOUR, 2006, 20, (2), 201-236 View citations
11. Profiling: Introduction to the Feature
    Economic Journal, 2006, 116, (515), F347-F350 View citations
12. Search Profiling With Partial Knowledge of Deterrence
    Economic Journal, 2006, 116, (515), F385-F401 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2005)

2005

13. Optimal Search Profiling with Linear Deterrence
    American Economic Review, 2005, 95, (2), 122-126 View citations
14. Walk or wait? An empirical analysis of street crossing decisions
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2005, 20, (4), 529-548
    See also Working Paper (2004)

2004

15. Confidence Intervals for Partially Identified Parameters
    Econometrica, 2004, 72, (6), 1845-1857 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2003)
16. How Should We Measure Consumer Confidence?
    Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2004, 18, (2), 51-66 View citations
17. Measuring Expectations
    Econometrica, 2004, 72, (5), 1329-1376 View citations
18. Social Learning from Private Experiences: The Dynamics of the Selection Problem
    Review of Economic Studies, 2004, 71, (2), 443-458 View citations
19. Statistical Treatment Rules for Heterogeneous Populations
    Econometrica, 2004, 72, (4), 1221-1246 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2003)

2003

20. Identification Problems in the Social Sciences and Everyday Life
    Southern Economic Journal, 2003, 70, (1), 11-21
21. Private Incentives and Social Interactions: Fertility Puzzles in Israel
    Journal of the European Economic Association, 2003, 1, (1), 181-211 View citations

2002

22. Identification of decision rules in experiments on simple games of proposal and response
    European Economic Review, 2002, 46, (4-5), 880-891 View citations
23. Inference on Regressions with Interval Data on a Regressor or Outcome
    Econometrica, 2002, 70, (2), 519-546 View citations
24. Regressions, Short and Long
    Econometrica, 2002, 70, (1), 357-368
    See also Working Paper (2000)

2001

25. Daniel McFadden and the Econometric Analysis of Discrete Choice
    Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 2001, 103, (2), 217-29 View citations
26. Designing Programs for Heterogeneous Populations: The Value of Covariate Information
    American Economic Review, 2001, 91, (2), 103-106 View citations

2000

27. Economic Analysis of Social Interactions
    Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2000, 14, (3), 115-136 View citations
    See also Working Paper (2000)
28. Identification problems and decisions under ambiguity: Empirical analysis of treatment response and normative analysis of treatment choice
    Journal of Econometrics, 2000, 95, (2), 415-442 View citations
29. Monotone Instrumental Variables, with an Application to the Returns to Schooling
    Econometrica, 2000, 68, (4), 997-1012 View citations
    See also Working Paper (1998)

1999

30. Analysis of Choice Expectations in Incomplete Scenarios
    Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 1999, 19, (1-3), 49-66 View citations

1998

31. Censoring of outcomes and regressors due to survey nonresponse: Identification and estimation using weights and imputations
    Journal of Econometrics, 1998, 84, (1), 37-58 View citations
    See also Working Paper (1996)

1997

32. Monotone Treatment Response
    Econometrica, 1997, 65, (6), 1311-1334 View citations
    See also Working Paper (1996)
33. The Mixing Problem in Programme Evaluation
    Review of Economic Studies, 1997, 64, (4), 537-53 View citations
    See also Working Paper (1993)

1995

34. Identification and Robustness with Contaminated and Corrupted Data
    Econometrica, 1995, 63, (2), 281-302 View citations
35. The Bell Curve: Review Article
    Journal of Economic Literature, 1995, 33, (2), 762-776 View citations

1993

36. Distribution theory for the analysis of binary choice under uncertainty with nonparametric estimation of expectations
    Journal of Econometrics, 1993, 56, (3), 291-321 View citations
37. Dynamic choice in social settings: Learning from the experiences of others
    Journal of Econometrics, 1993, 58, (1-2), 121-136 View citations
38. Identification of Endogenous Social Effects: The Reflection Problem
    Review of Economic Studies, 1993, 60, (3), 531-42 View citations
    See also Working Paper (1991)
39. Nonparametric and semiparametric approaches to discrete response analysis
    Journal of Econometrics, 1993, 58, (1-2), 1-2 View citations

1992

40. Educational choice (vouchers) and social mobility
    Economics of Education Review, 1992, 11, (4), 351-369 View citations
    See also Working Paper

1991

41. Regression
    Journal of Economic Literature, 1991, 29, (1), 34-50 View citations
    See also Working Paper (1989)

1990

42. Nonparametric Bounds on Treatment Effects
    American Economic Review, 1990, 80, (2), 319-23 View citations
    See also Working Paper (1989)

1989

43. Estimation of best predictors of binary response
    Journal of Econometrics, 1989, 40, (1), 97-123 View citations
    See also Working Paper (1989)
44. Schooling as experimentation: a reappraisal of the postsecondary dropout phenomenon
    Economics of Education Review, 1989, 8, (4), 305-312 View citations

1987

45. Comment
    Econometric Reviews, 1987, 6, (1), 59-64
46. Semiparametric Analysis of Random Effects Linear Models from Binary Panel Data
    Econometrica, 1987, 55, (2), 357-62 View citations
47. The demand for teleshopping: An application of discrete choice models
    Regional Science and Urban Economics, 1987, 17, (1), 109-121

1986

48. Operational characteristics of maximum score estimation
    Journal of Econometrics, 1986, 32, (1), 85-108 View citations
49. Semiparametric analysis of binary response from response-based samples
    Journal of Econometrics, 1986, 31, (1), 31-40 View citations

1985

50. Semiparametric analysis of discrete response: Asymptotic properties of the maximum score estimator
    Journal of Econometrics, 1985, 27, (3), 313-333 View citations

1984

51. Adaptive estimation of non-linear regression models
    Econometric Reviews, 1984, 3, (2), 145-194 View citations
52. Reply
    Econometric Reviews, 1984, 3, (2), 209-210

1983

53. Analysis of equilibrium automobile holdings in Israel with aggregate discrete choice models
    Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, 1983, 17, (5), 373-389 View citations
54. Closest Empirical Distribution Estimation
    Econometrica, 1983, 51, (2), 305-19 View citations

1981

55. A behavioral approach to modelling household motor vehicle ownership and applications to aggregate policy analysis
    Environment and Planning A, 1981, 13, (4), 399-411 View citations

1979

56. The Zero Elasticity Rule for Pricing a Government Service: A Summary of Findings
    Bell Journal of Economics, 1979, 10, (1), 211-223

1978

57. The Implications of Demand Instability for the Behavior of Firms: The Case of Residential Construction
    Real Estate Economics, 1978, 6, (2), 204-226

1977

58. The Estimation of Choice Probabilities from Choice Based Samples
    Econometrica, 1977, 45, (8), 1977-88 View citations

1975

59. Maximum score estimation of the stochastic utility model of choice
    Journal of Econometrics, 1975, 3, (3), 205-228 View citations

Chapters

1993

1. Adolescent Econometricians: How Do Youth Infer the Returns to Schooling?
   A chapter in Studies of Supply and Demand in Higher Education, 1993, pp 43-60 View citations
   See also Working Paper (1991)

1987

2. Academic Ability, Earnings, and the Decision to Become a Teacher: Evidence from the National Longitudinal Study of the High School Class of 1972
   A chapter in Public Sector Payrolls, 1987, pp 291-316
   See also Working Paper (1985)

1986

3. Analog estimation of econometric models
   Chapter 43 in Handbook of Econometrics, 1986, vol. 4, pp 2559-2582 View citations