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Details about Michael McAleer
Access statistics for papers by Michael McAleer.
Last updated 2009-11-24. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.
Short-id: pmc90
Jump to Journal Articles
Working Papers
2009
- A Decision Rule to Minimize Daily Capital Charges in Forecasting Value-at-Risk
Documentos del Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales View citations
Also in CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo (2009)  Econometric Institute Report, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute (2008)
- A General Asymptotic Theory for Time Series Models
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
- A Panel Threshold Model of Tourism Specialization and Economic Development
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
- A Scientific Classification of Volatility Models
Documentos del Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales 
Also in Documentos del Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales (2009)
- A Simple Expected Volatility (SEV) Index: Application to SET50 Index Options
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo 
Also in Econometric Institute Report, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute (2008)
- A Trinomial Test for Paired Data When There are Many Ties
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
- Alternative Asymmetric Stochastic Volatility Models
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
- An Econometric Analysis of SARS and Avian Flu on International Tourist Arrivals to Asia
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo 
Also in Econometric Institute Report, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute (2008)
- Asymmetry and Leverage in Realized Volatility
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo 
Also in Econometric Institute Report, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute (2008)
- Cruising is Risky Business
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
- Daily Tourist Arrivals, Exchange Rates and Volatility for Korea and Taiwan
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
- Do We Really Need Both BEKK and DCC? A Tale of Two Covariance Models
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo 
Also in Documentos del Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales (2009) View citations
- Does the FOMC Have Expertise, and Can It Forecast?
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo 
Also in Econometric Institute Report, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute (2008)
- Dynamic Conditional Correlations for Asymmetric Processes
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
- Dynamic Conditional Correlations in International Stock, Bond and Foreign Exchange Markets: Emerging Markets Evidence
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
- Estimating the Impact of Whaling on Global Whale Watching
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo 
Also in Econometric Institute Report, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute (2009)
- Exchange Rate and Industrial Commodity Volatility Transmissions and Hedging Strategies
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
- Forecasting Realized Volatility with Linear and Nonlinear Models
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
- Forecasting Volatility and Spillovers in Crude Oil Spot, Forward and Futures Markets
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo 
Also in Econometric Institute Report, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute (2009)
- Has the Basel II Accord Encouraged Risk Management During the 2008-09 Financial Crisis?
Documentos del Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales 
Also in CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo (2009)  Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers, Tinbergen Institute
- How Accurate are Government Forecast of Economic Fundamentals?
Econometric Institute Report, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute
- How Accurate are Government Forecasts of Economic Fundamentals? The Case of Taiwan
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
- How Volatile is ENSO?
Econometric Institute Report, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute 
Also in CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo (2009)
- Interdependence of International Tourism Demand and Volatility in Leading ASEAN Destinations
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
- It Pays to Violate: How Effective are the Basel Accord Penalties?
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
- Modeling Exchange Rate and Industrial Commodity Volatility Transmissions
"Marco Fanno" Working Papers, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno"
- Modelling Conditional Correlations for Risk Diversification in Crude Oil Markets
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo 
Also in Econometric Institute Report, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute (2009)
- Modelling Conditional Correlations in the Volatility of Asian Rubber Spot and Futures Returns
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
- Modelling International Tourist Arrivals and Volatility: An Application to Taiwan
Documentos del Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales 
Also in "Marco Fanno" Working Papers, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno" (2009)
- Modelling Long Memory Volatility in Agricultural Commodity Futures Returns
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
- Modelling Short and Long Haul Volatility in Japanese Tourist Arrivals to New Zealand and Taiwan
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
- Modelling Sustainable International Tourism Demand to the Brazilian Amazon
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo 
Also in Econometric Institute Report, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute (2008)  Documentos del Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales (2009)
- Modelling and Forecasting Daily International Mass Tourism to Peru
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
- Modelling and Forecasting Noisy Realized Volatility
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
- Modelling the Asymmetric Volatility in Hog Prices in Taiwan: The Impact of Joining the WTO
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
- Modelling the Interactions Across International Stock, Bond and Foreign Exchange Markets
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
- Moment-Based Estimation of Smooth Transition Regression Models with Endogenous Variables
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo 
Also in Econometric Institute Report, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute (2008)
- Multivariate Stochastic Volatility
Microeconomics Working Papers, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research
- On the Robustness of Alternative Rankings Methodologies For Australian and New Zealand Economics Departments
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
- Optimal Risk Management Before, During and After the 2008-09 Financial Crisis
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo 
Also in Documentos del Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales (2009)
- Precious Metals-Exchange Rate Volatility Transmissions and Hedging Strategies
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
- Risk Management for International Tourist Arrivals: An Application to the Balearic Islands, Spain
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
- Testing the Box-Cox Parameter in an Integrated Process
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
- The Ten Commandments for Optimizing Value-at-Risk and Daily Capital Charges
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo 
Also in Documentos del Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales (2009) View citations Econometric Institute Report, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute (2008) View citations
- Thresholds, News Impact Surfaces and Dynamic Asymmetric Multivariate GARCH
Documentos del Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales 
Also in "Marco Fanno" Working Papers, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno" (2008)
- VaR Forecasts and Dynamic Conditional Correlations for Spot and Futures Returns on Stocks and Bonds
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
- Value-at-Risk for Country Risk Ratings
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
- Volatility Spillovers Between Crude Oil Futures Returns and Oil Company Stocks Return
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
- What Happened to Risk Management During the 2008-09 Financial Crisis?
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo 
Also in Documentos del Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales (2009)  Econometric Institute Report, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute (2009)
2008
- Expert opinion versus expertise in forecasting
Econometric Institute Report, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute 
See also Journal Article in Statistica Neerlandica (2009)
- Shock and volatility spillovers among equity sectors of the Gulf Arab stock markets
Econometric Institute Report, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute View citations
See also Journal Article in The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance (2009)
2007
- Econometric modelling in finance and risk management: An overview
MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany 
See also Journal Article in Journal of Econometrics (2008)
- On the Robustness of Alternative Rankings Methodologies: Australian and New Zealand Economics Departments, 1988-2002
MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations
- Patent Activity and Technical Change
DEA Working Papers, Universitat de les Illes Balears, Departament d'Economía Aplicada View citations
Also in CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo (2003) 
See also Journal Article in Journal of Econometrics (2007)
2006
- Realized volatility: a review
Textos para discussão, Department of Economics PUC-Rio (Brazil) View citations
See also Journal Article in Econometric Reviews (2008)
2005
- Asymmetric Multivariate Stochastic Volatility
DEA Working Papers, Universitat de les Illes Balears, Departament d'Economía Aplicada View citations
- Managing Value-at-Risk in Daily Tourist Tax Revenues for the Maldives
DEA Working Papers, Universitat de les Illes Balears, Departament d'Economía Aplicada
- Measuring the Volatility in U.S. Treasury Benchmarks and Debt Instruments
DEA Working Papers, Universitat de les Illes Balears, Departament d'Economía Aplicada 
See also Journal Article in Econometric Reviews (2009)
- Risk Management of Daily Tourist Tax Revenues for the Maldives
Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei View citations
2004
- Modelling Dynamic Conditional Correlations in WTI Oil Forward and Futures Returns
Working Papers, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei 
See also Journal Article in Finance Research Letters (2006)
- Modelling Environmental Risk
HEI Working Papers, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies View citations
2003
- Asian Monetary Integration: A Structural VAR Approach
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo View citations
- Asymptotic Properties of the Estimator of the Long-run Coefficient in a Dynamic Model with Integrated Regressors and Serially Correlated Errors
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo 
Also in ISER Discussion Paper, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University (2001) 
See also Journal Article in The Japanese Economic Review (2003)
- Convergence and Catching Up in ASEAN: A Comparative Analysis
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo 
See also Journal Article in Applied Economics (2004)
- Ecologically Sustainable Tourism Management
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
- Environmental Technology Strengths: International Rankings Based on US Patent Data
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
- Estimation and Testing for Unit Root Processes with GARCH (1, 1) Errors: Theory and Monte Carlo Evidence
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo View citations
Also in ISER Discussion Paper, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University (2001) View citations
- Fat Tails and Asymmetry in Financial Volatility Models
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo View citations
- Input-output Structure and Growth in China
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
- Modelling International Travel Demand from Singapore to Australia
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo View citations
- Modelling the Asymmetric Volatility of Electronics Patents in the USA
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
- On the Structure, Asymptotic Theory and Applications of STAR-GARCH Models
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo View citations
- Pricing of Non-ferrous Metals Futures on the London Metal Exchange
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo 
See also Journal Article in Applied Financial Economics (2006)
- Regression Quantiles for Unstable Autoregressive Models
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo 
Also in Working Papers, Osaka - Institute of Social and Economic Research (2001) ISER Discussion Paper, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University (2001) 
See also Journal Article in Journal of Multivariate Analysis (2004)
- Structure and Asymptotic Theory for Multivariate Asymmetric Volatility: Empirical Evidence for Country Risk Ratings
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo View citations
- Volatility Models of Currency Futures in Developed and Emerging Markets
CIRJE F-Series, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo
2002
- Volatility of a Market Index and its Components: An Application to Commodity Markets
Computing in Economics and Finance 2002, Society for Computational Economics View citations
2001
- A Survey of Recent Theoretical Results for Time Series Models with GARCH Errors
ISER Discussion Paper, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University View citations
- Asymptotic Theory for a Vector ARMA-GARCH Model
ISER Discussion Paper, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University 
See also Journal Article in Econometric Theory (2003)
- Comparing Tests of Autoregressive Versus Moving Average Errors in Regression Models Using Bahadur's Asymptotic Relative Efficiency
ISER Discussion Paper, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University
- Estimating Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models with GARCH Errors in the Presence of Extreme Observations and Outliers
ISER Discussion Paper, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University 
See also Journal Article in Applied Financial Economics (2003)
- Modelling the Determinants of International Tourism Demand to Australia
ISER Discussion Paper, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University
- Necessary and Sufficient Moment Conditions for the GARCH(r,s) and Asymmetric Power GARCH(r,s) Models
ISER Discussion Paper, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University 
See also Journal Article in Econometric Theory (2002)
- On Adaptive Estimation in Nonstationary ARMA Models with GARCH Errors
ISER Discussion Paper, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University View citations
- Stationarity and the Existence of Moments of a Family of GARCH Processes
ISER Discussion Paper, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University 
See also Journal Article in Journal of Econometrics (2002)
- Testing Multiple Non-nested Factor Demand Systems
ISER Discussion Paper, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University View citations
- Time Series Forecasts of International Tourism Demand for Australia
ISER Discussion Paper, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University View citations
1995
- Testing Nested and Non-Nested Periodically Integrated Autoregressive Models
Working Papers, Tilburg - Center for Economic Research View citations
Also in Working Papers, Erasmus University of Rotterdam - Econometric Institute (1994)
- Testing for Unit Roots and Non-Linear Transformations
Working Papers, Erasmus University of Rotterdam - Econometric Institute View citations
1993
- Cointegration and Direct Tests of the Rational Expectations Hypothesis
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge View citations
See also Journal Article in Econometric Reviews (1994)
1991
- COMPARING THE EMPIRICAL PERFOMANCE OF ALTERNATIVE DEMAND SYSTEMS
Working Papers, Tilburg - Center for Economic Research
Also in Working Papers, Tilburg - Center for Economic Research (1991) View citations
1990
- A MOTE CARLO COMPARISON OF OLS,IV,FIML AND BOOTSTRAP STANDARD ERRORS IN LINEAR MODELS WITH GENERATED REGRESSORS
Working Papers, Australian National University - Department of Economics
- ALTERNATIVE APPROACHES TO TESTING NON-NESTED MODELS WITH AUTOCORRELATED DISTURBANCES: AN APPLICATION TO MODELS OF U.S. UNEMPLOYMENT
Working Papers, California Los Angeles - Applied Econometrics
Also in Cambridge Working Papers in Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge (1990)
- Alternative Procedures for Converting Qualitative Response Data to Quantitative Expectations: An Application to Australian Manufacturing
Working Papers, Australian National University - Department of Economics View citations
See also Journal Article in Journal of Applied Econometrics (1995)
- DISCRIMINATION BETWEEN NESTED TWO- AND THREE-PARAMETER DISTRIBUTIONS: AN APPLICATION TO MODELS OF AIR POLLUTION
Working Papers, Tilburg - Center for Economic Research
Also in Working Papers, Australian National University - Department of Economics (1990)
- DISCRIMINATION PROCEDURES FOR FITTING NESTED AND NON-NESTED DISTRIBUTIONS TO ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY DATA
Working Papers, Australian National University - Department of Economics
- ESTIMATION AND DISCRIMINATION OF ALTERNATIVE AIR POLLUTION MODELS
Working Papers, Australian National University - Department of Economics
- KEYNESIAN AND NEW CLASSICAL MODELS OF UNEMPLOYMENT REVISITED
Working Papers, Tilburg - Center for Economic Research
See also Journal Article in Economic Journal (1991)
- ON THE ROBUSTNESS OF BARRO'S NEW CLASSICAL UNEMPLOYMENT MODEL
Working Papers, Australian National University - Department of Economics
See also Journal Article in Applied Economics (1993)
- On Efficient Estimation and Correct Inference in Models with Generated Regressions: A General Approach
Working Papers, Australian National University - Department of Economics View citations
- SIMPLE PROCEDURES FOR TESTING AUTOREGRESSIVE VERSUS MOVING AVERAGE ERRORS IN REGRESSION MODELS
Working Papers, Australian National University - Department of Economics
1989
- A NEW APPROACH TO MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION OF THE THREE-PARAMATER GAMMA AND WEIBULL DISTRIBUTIONS
Working Papers, Australian National University - Department of Economics View citations
- ESTIMATING THE PERCENTILES OF SOME MISSPECIFIED NON-NESTED DISTRIBUTIONS
Working Papers, Australian National University - Department of Economics
- JOINT TEST OF NON-NESTED MODELS AND GENERAL ERRO SPECIFICATIONS
Working Papers, California Los Angeles - Applied Econometrics
See also Journal Article in Econometric Reviews (1992)
- JOINT TESTS OF NON-NESTED MODLS AND GENERAL ERROR SPECIFICATIONS
Working Papers, Osaka - Institute of Social and Economic Research
See also Journal Article in Econometric Reviews (1992)
- ON THE ROBUSTNESS OF TESTS OF OUTLIERS AND FUNCTIONAL FORM
Working Papers, Osaka - Institute of Social and Economic Research
- THE EFFECTS OF MISSPECIFICATION IN ESTIMATING THE PERCENTILES OF SOME TWO -AND THREE-PARAMETER DISTRIBUTIONS
Working Papers, Osaka - Institute of Social and Economic Research
Also in Working Papers, Australian National University - Department of Economics (1989)
1988
- SOME POWER COMPARISONS OF JOINT AND PAIRED TESTS FOR NON-NESTED MODELS UNDER LOCAL HYPOTHESES
Working Papers, Australian National University - Department of Economics View citations
1985
- On the Consistency of Joint and Paired Tests for Non-Nested Regression Models
Working Papers, Queen's University, Department of Economics
- What Will Take the Con Out of Econometrics?
CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers View citations
See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (1985)
1982
- A Note on Identifiability in the Linear Expenditure Family
Cahiers de recherche, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques
See also Journal Article in Australian Economic Papers (1982)
- Separate Misspecified Regressions and the U.S. Long Run Demand for Money Function
Cahiers de recherche, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques View citations
See also Journal Article in The Review of Economics and Statistics (1982)
- Testing Separate Regression Models Subject to Specification Error
Cahiers de recherche, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques
Also in Working Papers, Queen's University, Department of Economics (1981)
See also Journal Article in Journal of Econometrics (1982)
1981
- Alternative Procedures and Associated Tests of Significance for Non-Nested Hypotheses
Working Papers, Queen's University, Department of Economics View citations
See also Journal Article in Journal of Econometrics (1981)
- Exact Tests of a Model Against Non-Nested Alternatives
Working Papers, Queen's University, Department of Economics View citations
- Separate Misspecified Regressions
Working Papers, Queen's University, Department of Economics View citations
1980
- Exogeneity and Money Demand in a Small Open Economy: The Canadian Case
Working Papers, Queen's University, Department of Economics
- Interest Rates and Durability in the Linear Expenditure Family
Working Papers, Queen's University, Department of Economics
See also Journal Article in Canadian Journal of Economics (1981)
- Principles and Methods in the Testing of Alternative Models
Working Papers, Queen's University, Department of Economics View citations
- The Interpretation of the Cox Test in Econometrics
Working Papers, Queen's University, Department of Economics View citations
- Two Papers on Linear Models
Working Papers, Queen's University, Department of Economics
- Two Papers on Model Testing and Discrimination
Working Papers, Queen's University, Department of Economics
1979
- Durable Goods in the Extended Linear Expenditure System: An Empirical Appraisal
Working Papers, Queen's University, Department of Economics
- Estimation of the Consumption Function: A Systems Approach to Employment Effects on the Purchases of Durables
Working Papers, Queen's University, Department of Economics
- Problems of Estimating the Linear Expenditure System and its Related Forms
Working Papers, Queen's University, Department of Economics
- Theory and Econometric Evaluation of a Systems Approach to Money Demand, The Canadian Case
Working Papers, Queen's University, Department of Economics
1978
- Application of Transitional Phase Polynomials to a Model of Trade Union Growth in Canada
Working Papers, Queen's University, Department of Economics
Journal Articles
2009
- Expert opinion versus expertise in forecasting
Statistica Neerlandica, 2009, 63, (3), 334-346 View citations
See also Working Paper (2008)
- Linear and nonlinear causality between changes in consumption and consumer attitudes
Economics Letters, 2009, 102, (3), 161-164
- Measuring the Volatility in U.S. Treasury Benchmarks and Debt Instruments
Econometric Reviews, 2009, 28, (6), 522-554 
See also Working Paper (2005)
- Multivariate stochastic volatility, leverage and news impact surfaces
Econometrics Journal, 2009, 12, (2), 292-309
- Shock and volatility spillovers among equity sectors of the Gulf Arab stock markets
The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 2009, 49, (3), 829-842 
See also Working Paper (2008)
- Structure and Asymptotic Theory for Multivariate Asymmetric Conditional Volatility
Econometric Reviews, 2009, 28, (5), 422-440 View citations
- The structure of dynamic correlations in multivariate stochastic volatility models
Journal of Econometrics, 2009, 150, (2), 182-192 View citations
2008
- A Portfolio Index GARCH model
International Journal of Forecasting, 2008, 24, (3), 449-461
- A multiple regime smooth transition Heterogeneous Autoregressive model for long memory and asymmetries
Journal of Econometrics, 2008, 147, (1), 104-119 View citations
- A neural network demand system with heteroskedastic errors
Journal of Econometrics, 2008, 147, (2), 359-371
- An alternative approach to estimating demand: Neural network regression with conditional volatility for high frequency air passenger arrivals
Journal of Econometrics, 2008, 147, (2), 372-383
- Econometric modelling in finance and risk management: An overview
Journal of Econometrics, 2008, 147, (1), 1-4 
See also Working Paper (2007)
- Evaluating the impact of market reforms on Value-at-Risk forecasts of Chinese A and B shares
Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 2008, 16, (4), 453-475
- Finite sample properties of the QMLE for the Log-ACD model: Application to Australian stocks
Journal of Econometrics, 2008, 147, (1), 163-185
- Forecasting value-at-risk with a parsimonious portfolio spillover GARCH (PS-GARCH) model
Journal of Forecasting, 2008, 27, (1), 1-19 View citations
- GENERALIZED AUTOREGRESSIVE CONDITIONAL CORRELATION
Econometric Theory, 2008, 24, (06), 1554-1583 View citations
- Realized Volatility and Long Memory: An Overview
Econometric Reviews, 2008, 27, (1-3), 1-9
- Realized Volatility: A Review
Econometric Reviews, 2008, 27, (1-3), 10-45 View citations
See also Working Paper (2006)
- Scalar BEKK and indirect DCC
Journal of Forecasting, 2008, 27, (6), 537-549
- Single-index and portfolio models for forecasting value-at-risk thresholds
Journal of Forecasting, 2008, 27, (3), 217-235 View citations
2007
- An econometric analysis of asymmetric volatility: Theory and application to patents
Journal of Econometrics, 2007, 139, (2), 259-284 View citations
- MEASURING RISK IN ENVIRONMENTAL FINANCE
Journal of Economic Surveys, 2007, 21, (5), 970-998
- Non-trading day effects in asymmetric conditional and stochastic volatility models
Econometrics Journal, 2007, 10, (1), 113-123
- Patent activity and technical change
Journal of Econometrics, 2007, 139, (2), 355-375 View citations
See also Working Paper (2007)
- The econometrics of intellectual property: An overview
Journal of Econometrics, 2007, 139, (2), 237-241
2006
- Dynamic Asymmetric GARCH
Journal of Financial Econometrics, 2006, 4, (3), 385-412 View citations
- HOW DOES COUNTRY RISK AFFECT INNOVATION? AN APPLICATION TO FOREIGN PATENTS REGISTERED IN THE USA
Journal of Economic Surveys, 2006, 20, (4), 691-714
- INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY AND ECONOMIC INCENTIVES
Journal of Economic Surveys, 2006, 20, (4), 483-491
- INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY LITIGATION ACTIVITY IN THE USA
Journal of Economic Surveys, 2006, 20, (4), 715-729
- Modeling dynamic conditional correlations in WTI oil forward and futures returns
Finance Research Letters, 2006, 3, (2), 114-132 View citations
See also Working Paper (2004)
- Modelling time-varying conditional correlations in the volatility of Tapis oil spot and forward returns
Applied Financial Economics, 2006, 16, (7), 525-533 View citations
- Pricing of non-ferrous metals futures on the London Metal Exchange
Applied Financial Economics, 2006, 16, (12), 853-880 
See also Working Paper (2003)
2005
- AUTOMATED INFERENCE AND LEARNING IN MODELING FINANCIAL VOLATILITY
Econometric Theory, 2005, 21, (01), 232-261 View citations
- The Ten Commandments for Academics
Journal of Economic Surveys, 2005, 19, (5), 823-826 View citations
- The ten commandments for ranking university quality
Journal of Economic Surveys, 2005, 19, (4), 649-653 View citations
2004
- An Empirical Assessment of Country Risk Ratings and Associated Models
Journal of Economic Surveys, 2004, 18, (4), 539-588 View citations
- Convergence and catching up in ASEAN: a comparative analysis
Applied Economics, 2004, 36, (2), 137-153 View citations
See also Working Paper (2003)
- Econometric modelling of non-ferrous metal prices
Journal of Economic Surveys, 2004, 18, (5), 651-701 View citations
- Efficient estimation and testing of oil futures contracts in a mutual offset system
Applied Financial Economics, 2004, 14, (13), 953-962
- Is a monetary union feasible for East Asia?
Applied Economics, 2004, 36, (10), 1031-1043
- Recursive modelling of symmetric and asymmetric volatility in the presence of extreme observations
International Journal of Forecasting, 2004, 20, (1), 115-129 View citations
- Regression quantiles for unstable autoregressive models
Journal of Multivariate Analysis, 2004, 89, (2), 304-328 
See also Working Paper (2003)
- Trends and volatilities in foreign patents registered in the USA
Applied Economics, 2004, 36, (6), 585-592
2003
- ASYMPTOTIC THEORY FOR A VECTOR ARMA-GARCH MODEL
Econometric Theory, 2003, 19, (02), 280-310 View citations
See also Working Paper (2001)
- Asymptotic Properties Of The Estimator Of The Long-Run Coefficient In A Dynamic Model With Integrated Regressors And Serially Correlated Errors
The Japanese Economic Review, 2003, 54, (4), 420-438 
See also Working Paper (2003)
- Estimating smooth transition autoregressive models with GARCH errors in the presence of extreme observations and outliers
Applied Financial Economics, 2003, 13, (8), 581-592 View citations
See also Working Paper (2001)
2002
- Financial volatility: an introduction
Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2002, 17, (5), 419-424 View citations
- Maximum likelihood estimation of STAR and STAR-GARCH models: theory and Monte Carlo evidence
Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2002, 17, (5), 509-534 View citations
- NECESSARY AND SUFFICIENT MOMENT CONDITIONS FOR THE GARCH(r,s) AND ASYMMETRIC POWER GARCH(r,s) MODELS
Econometric Theory, 2002, 18, (03), 722-729 View citations
See also Working Paper (2001)
- Recent Theoretical Results for Time Series Models with GARCH Errors
Journal of Economic Surveys, 2002, 16, (3), 245-69 View citations
- Stationarity and the existence of moments of a family of GARCH processes
Journal of Econometrics, 2002, 106, (1), 109-117 View citations
See also Working Paper (2001)
- The Econometrics of Financial Time Series
Journal of Economic Surveys, 2002, 16, (3), 237-43
- The International Congress on Modelling and Simulation: Hamilton, New Zealand, December 1999
Journal of Economic Surveys, 2002, 16, (1), 111-21 View citations
- The Ten Commandments for Presenting a Conference Paper
Journal of Economic Surveys, 2002, 16, (2), 215-18
2001
- Cointegration Analysis of Quarterly Tourism Demand by Hong Kong and Singapore for Australia
Applied Economics, 2001, 33, (12), 1599-1619 View citations
- Consumption, liquidity constraints, uncertainty and temptation: An international comparison
Journal of Economic Psychology, 2001, 22, (1), 61-89
- Efficient Estimation and Testing of Alternative Models of Currency Futures Contracts
The Economic Record, 2001, 77, (238), 270-82 View citations
- SIZE CHARACTERISTICS OF TESTS FOR SAMPLE SELECTION BIAS: A MONTE CARLO COMPARISON AND EMPIRICAL EXAMPLE
Econometric Reviews, 2001, 20, (1), 105-112 View citations
- The Ten Commandments for Attending a Conference
Journal of Economic Surveys, 2001, 15, (5), 671-78
2000
- A Market-Augmented Model for SIMEX Brent Crude Oil Futures Contracts
Applied Financial Economics, 2000, 10, (5), 543-52
- A Seasonal Analysis of Asian Tourist Arrivals to Australia
Applied Economics, 2000, 32, (4), 499-509 View citations
- Direct Tests of the Permanent Income Hypothesis under Uncertainty, Inflationary Expectations and Liquidity Constraints
Journal of Macroeconomics, 2000, 22, (2), 229-252 View citations
- Pricing of Forward and Futures Contracts
Journal of Economic Surveys, 2000, 14, (2), 215-53 View citations
- Testing Long-Run Neutrality Using Intra-year data
Applied Economics, 2000, 32, (1), 25-37
- Testing the Risk Premium and Cost-of-Carry Hypotheses for Currency Futures Contracts
Applied Financial Economics, 2000, 10, (3), 277-89
1999
- ANALYTICAL POWER COMPARISONS OF NESTED AND NONNESTED TESTS FOR LINEAR AND LOGLINEAR REGRESSION MODELS
Econometric Theory, 1999, 15, (01), 99-113 View citations
1998
- A sequential testing procedure for outliers and structural change
Econometric Reviews, 1998, 7, (1), 103-111
- Cointegration Analysis of Seasonal Time Series
Journal of Economic Surveys, 1998, 12, (5), 651-78 View citations
- Cointegration in Practice
Journal of Economic Surveys, 1998, 12, (5), 417-22
- Some comments on testing time series models
Econometric Reviews, 1998, 7, (1), 49-57
- Switching Orthogonality
International Economic Review, 1998, 39, (1), 171-82
- The International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Hobart, Tasmania, December 1997
Journal of Economic Surveys, 1998, 12, (4), 399-415
- The Winter of My Content: The Econometric Society Australasian Meeting 1997, Melbourne, Australia
Journal of Economic Surveys, 1998, 12, (1), 111-24
1997
- Empirical Econometric Modelling of Food Consumption Using a New Informational Complexity Approach: Comments
Journal of Applied Econometrics, 1997, 12, (5), 587-89
- Pictures at an Exhibition: The Experiment in Applied Econometrics Conference, Tilburg, the Netherlands, 1996
Journal of Economic Surveys, 1997, 11, (4), 419-32
- Revisiting Tobin's 1950 Study of Food Expenditure: Comments
Journal of Applied Econometrics, 1997, 12, (5), 553-57
- Statistical Demand Functions for Food in the USA and the Netherlands: Comments
Journal of Applied Econometrics, 1997, 12, (5), 640-42
- The Ten Commandments for Organizing a Conference
Journal of Economic Surveys, 1997, 11, (2), 231-33
1996
- The 7th World Congress of the Econometric Society: Tokyo, Japan, 1995
Journal of Economic Surveys, 1996, 10, (1), 105-14
- The Osaka Econometrics Conference: Osaka, Japan, 1995
Journal of Economic Surveys, 1996, 10, (1), 115-22
1995
- Alternative Procedures for Converting Qualitative Response Data to Quantitative Expectations: An Application to Australian Manufacturing
Journal of Applied Econometrics, 1995, 10, (2), 165-85 View citations
See also Working Paper (1990)
- Simplicity, Scientific Interference and Econometric Modelling
Economic Journal, 1995, 105, (428), 1-21 View citations
- The significance of testing empirical non-nested models
Journal of Econometrics, 1995, 67, (1), 149-171 View citations
1994
- A note on the unbiasedness test of rationality using survey data
Journal of Macroeconomics, 1994, 16, (2), 369-374
- Cointegrated systems I
Econometric Reviews, 1994, 13, (2), 145-149 
Also in Econometric Reviews, 1994, 13, (3), 287-289 (1994)
- Cointegration and direct tests of the rational expectations hypothesis
Econometric Reviews, 1994, 13, (2), 231-258 View citations
See also Working Paper (1993)
- Newey-West Covariance Matrix Estimates for Models with Generated Regressors
Applied Economics, 1994, 26, (6), 635-40 View citations
- On the Effects of Misspecification Errors in Models with Generated Regressors
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 1994, 56, (4), 441-55 View citations
- Sherlock Holmes and the Search for Truth: A Diagnostic Tale
Journal of Economic Surveys, 1994, 8, (4), 317-70 View citations
1993
- Econometric Issues in Macroeconomic Models with Generated Regressors
Journal of Economic Surveys, 1993, 7, (1), 1-40 View citations
- On the Robustness of Barro's New Classical Unemployment Model
Applied Economics, 1993, 25, (3), 349-60
See also Working Paper (1990)
1992
- Efficient Estimation: The Rao-Zyskind Condition, Kruskal's Theorem and Ordinary Least Squares
The Economic Record, 1992, 68, (200), 65-72 View citations
- Joint tests of non-nested models and general error specifications
Econometric Reviews, 1992, 11, (1), 97-117 
See also Working Paper (1989) Working Paper (1989)
- Properties of ordinary least squares estimators in regression models with nonspherical disturbances
Journal of Econometrics, 1992, 54, (1-3), 321-334 View citations
- Recursive estimation and generated regressors
Economics Letters, 1992, 39, (1), 1-5
1991
- Keynesian and New Classical Models of Unemployment Revisited
Economic Journal, 1991, 101, (406), 359-81 View citations
See also Working Paper (1990)
- When are two step estimators efficient?
Econometric Reviews, 1991, 10, (2), 235-252 View citations
1989
- A Monte Carlo Study of Some Tests of Model Adequacy in Time Series Analysis
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 1989, 7, (1), 95-106 View citations
- How Fragile Are Fragile Inferences? A Re-evaluation of the Deterrent Effect of Capital Punishment
The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1989, 71, (1), 99-106 View citations
1988
- Variable Addition and LaGrange Multiplier Tests for Linear and Logarithmic Regression Models
The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1988, 70, (3), 492-503 View citations
1987
- Further Results on Testing AR (1) against MA (1) Disturbances in the Linear Regression Model
Review of Economic Studies, 1987, 54, (4), 649-63 View citations
- On exact and asymptotic tests of non-nested models
Statistics & Probability Letters, 1987, 5, (1), 19-22
1986
- A further result on the sign of restricted least-squares estimates
Journal of Econometrics, 1986, 32, (2), 287-290
1985
- Testing separate models with stochastic regressors
Economic Modelling, 1985, 2, (4), 331-338
- What Will Take the Con out of Econometrics?
American Economic Review, 1985, 75, (3), 293-307 View citations
See also Working Paper (1985)
1983
- Comment
Econometric Reviews, 1983, 2, (1), 121-130
- Some Exact Tests for Model Specification
The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1983, 65, (2), 351-54 View citations
- Testing Non-Nested Specifications of Money Demand for Canada
Canadian Journal of Economics, 1983, 16, (4), 593-602 View citations
1982
- A Note on Identifiability in the Linear Expenditure Family
Australian Economic Papers, 1982, 21, (39), 416-20
See also Working Paper (1982)
- Separate Misspecified Regressions and the U.S. Long-Run Demand for Money Function
The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1982, 64, (4), 572-83 View citations
See also Working Paper (1982)
- Testing separate regression models subject to specification error
Journal of Econometrics, 1982, 19, (1), 125-145 
See also Working Paper (1982)
1981
- A small sample test for non-nested regression models
Economics Letters, 1981, 7, (4), 335-338
- Alternative procedures and associated tests of significance for non-nested hypotheses
Journal of Econometrics, 1981, 16, (1), 103-119 View citations
See also Working Paper (1981)
- Interest Rates and Durability in the Linear Expenditure Family
Canadian Journal of Economics, 1981, 14, (2), 331-41 
See also Working Paper (1980)
- Simultaneity and the Demand for Money in Canada: Comments and Extensions
Canadian Journal of Economics, 1981, 14, (3), 488-96
1980
- The minimum error variance rule for non-linear regression models
Economics Letters, 1980, 6, (1), 17-21
1979
- On the interpretation of the cox test in econometrics
Economics Letters, 1979, 4, (2), 145-150
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