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Details about Boriss Siliverstovs

Workplace:Latvijas Banka (Bank of Latvia), (more information at EDIRC)
KOF Swiss Economic Institute, Department of Management, Technology and Economics (D-MTEC), Eidgenössische Technische Hochschule Zürich (ETHZ) (Federal Institute of Technology Zurich), (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Boriss Siliverstovs.

Last updated 2021-12-21. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: psi84


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Working Papers

2021

  1. Gauging the Effect of Influential Observations on Measures of Relative Forecast Accuracy in a Post-COVID-19 Era: Application to Nowcasting Euro Area GDP Growth
    Working Papers, Latvijas Banka Downloads View citations (2)

2020

  1. Recessions as Breadwinner for Forecasters State-Dependent Evaluation of Predictive Ability: Evidence from Big Macroeconomic US Data
    Working Papers, Latvijas Banka Downloads
    Also in KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich (2019) Downloads View citations (6)

2019

  1. Assessing Nowcast Accuracy of US GDP Growth in Real Time: The Role of Booms and Busts
    Working Papers, Latvijas Banka Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Assessing nowcast accuracy of US GDP growth in real time: the role of booms and busts, Empirical Economics, Springer (2020) Downloads View citations (12) (2020)
  2. Employment Effect of Innovation
    JRC Working Papers in Economics and Finance, Joint Research Centre, European Commission Downloads View citations (5)
    Also in KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich (2017) Downloads View citations (2)
    JRC Working Papers on Corporate R&D and Innovation, Joint Research Centre (2015) Downloads View citations (3)

    See also Journal Article Employment effect of innovation, Empirical Economics, Springer (2020) Downloads (2020)

2018

  1. Is it good to be bad or bad to be good?: Assessing the aggregate impact of abnormal weather on consumer spending
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Downloads
    See also Journal Article Is it good to be bad or bad to be good? Assessing the aggregate impact of abnormal weather on consumer spending, Empirical Economics, Springer (2021) Downloads (2021)

2016

  1. International Stock Return Predictability: On the Role of the United States in Bad and Good Times
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in EcoMod2016, EcoMod (2016) Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Journal Article International stock return predictability: on the role of the United States in bad and good times, Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals (2017) Downloads View citations (6) (2017)

2015

  1. Dissecting Models' Forecasting Performance
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Downloads
    See also Journal Article Dissecting models' forecasting performance, Economic Modelling, Elsevier (2017) Downloads View citations (5) (2017)
  2. Dissecting the purchasing managers' index
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Downloads
  3. Short-term forecasting with mixed-frequency data: A MIDASSO approach
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article Short-term forecasting with mixed-frequency data: a MIDASSO approach, Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2017) Downloads View citations (16) (2017)
  4. The franc shock and Swiss GDP: How long does it take to start feeling the pain?
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article The franc shock and Swiss GDP: how long does it take to start feeling the pain?, Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2016) Downloads View citations (4) (2016)
  5. Think national, forecast local: A case study of 71 German urban housing markets
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Downloads
    See also Journal Article Think national, forecast local: a case study of 71 German urban housing markets, Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2017) Downloads (2017)

2014

  1. Business Confidence and Forecasting of Housing Prices and Rents in Large German Cities
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads
  2. The KOF Economic Barometer, Version 2014
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Downloads View citations (14)

2013

  1. Rationality of Direct Tax Revenue Forecasts under Asymmetric Losses
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Downloads View citations (3)
  2. Using Newspapers for Tracking the Business Cycle
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Downloads View citations (8)

2012

  1. Are GDP Revisions Predictable? Evidence for Switzerland
    EcoMod2012, EcoMod Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article Are GDP Revisions Predictable? Evidence for Switzerland, Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin (2012) Downloads (2012)
  2. Assessing Forecasting Performance of Business Tendency Surveys during the Great Recession
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Downloads
  3. Keeping a Finger on the Pulse of the Economy
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Downloads View citations (6)
  4. Measuring Regional Inequality by Internet Car Price Advertisements: Evidence for Germany
    ERSA conference papers, European Regional Science Association Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research (2010) Downloads View citations (1)
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich (2010) Downloads View citations (1)

    See also Journal Article Measuring regional inequality by internet car price advertisements: Evidence for Germany, Economics Letters, Elsevier (2012) Downloads View citations (3) (2012)
  5. R&D and Non-Linear Productivity Growth of Heterogeneous Firms
    JRC Working Papers on Corporate R&D and Innovation, Joint Research Centre Downloads View citations (10)
    Also in KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich (2012) Downloads View citations (9)
    JRC Research Reports, Joint Research Centre (2012) Downloads View citations (9)

    See also Journal Article R&D and non-linear productivity growth, Research Policy, Elsevier (2016) Downloads View citations (56) (2016)
  6. Regional interest rate pass-through in Italy
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article Regional Interest Rate Pass-Through in Italy, Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals (2016) Downloads View citations (2) (2016)
  7. The R-word Index for Switzerland
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article The R-word index for Switzerland, Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals (2013) Downloads View citations (13) (2013)

2011

  1. Are GDP revisions predictable?
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Downloads
  2. Dating Business Cycles in a Historical Perspective
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Downloads View citations (2)
  3. Does the Law of One Price Hold in a High-Inflation Environment? A Tale of Two Cities in Turkey
    EcoMod2011, EcoMod Downloads
    See also Journal Article Does the law of one price hold in a high-inflation environment? A tale of two cities in Turkey, Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2014) Downloads View citations (1) (2014)
  4. Using Personal Car Register for Measuring Economic Inequality in Countries with a Large Share of Shadow Economy
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Downloads View citations (1)
  5. Using Personal Car Register for Measuring Economic Inequality in Countries with a Large Share of Shadow Economy: Evidence for Latvia
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Using Personal Car Register for Measuring Economic Inequality in Countries with a Large Share of Shadow Economy: Evidence for Latvia, Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth (2014) Downloads View citations (2) (2014)

2010

  1. Assessing Predictive Content of the KOF Barometer in Real Time
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Downloads
  2. Assessing the Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases for Now-/Forecasting GDP
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Downloads View citations (11)
  3. Assessing the Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases for Now-/Forecasting GDP: Evidence for Switzerland
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (11)
    See also Journal Article Assessing the Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases for Now-/Forecasting GDP: Evidence for Switzerland, Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter (2012) Downloads View citations (13) (2012)
  4. Discretionary Fiscal Policy
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Downloads View citations (1)
  5. Do Google Searches Help in Nowcasting Private Consumption?
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Downloads View citations (32)
  6. Do Google Searches Help in Nowcasting Private Consumption?: A Real-Time Evidence for the US
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (33)
  7. Does the Law of One Price Hold in a High-Inflation Environment?
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Downloads
  8. Econometric Modelling of the Inflation Process in the Transition Economies. With application to the Baltic states
    EcoMod2004, EcoMod Downloads
  9. Modelling Inflation Dynamics in Transition Economies: The Case of Ukraine
    EcoMod2004, EcoMod Downloads
    Also in Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research (2005) Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Journal Article Modeling Inflation Dynamics in Transition Economies: The Case of Ukraine, Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2006) Downloads (2006)

2009

  1. Do Forecasters Inform or Reassure?: Evaluation of the German Real-Time Data
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (12)
    See also Journal Article Do Forecasters Inform or Reassure? Evaluation of the German Real-Time Data, Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin (2009) (2009)
  2. Do forecasters inform or reassure?
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Downloads View citations (12)
  3. Evaluating German Business Cycle Forecasts Under an Asymmetric Loss Function
    Macroeconomics and Finance Series, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics Downloads View citations (4)
    Also in KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich (2009) Downloads View citations (4)

    See also Journal Article Evaluating German business cycle forecasts under an asymmetric loss function, OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys (2010) Downloads View citations (27) (2010)
  4. Evaluating short-run forecasting properties of the KOF employment indicator for Switzerland in real time
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Downloads View citations (3)
  5. Google Searches as a Means of Improving the Nowcasts of Key Macroeconomic Variables
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (4)
  6. Spurious correlation in estimation of the health production function
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Downloads View citations (7)
  7. Spurious correlation in estimation of the health production function: A note
    SOI - Working Papers, Socioeconomic Institute - University of Zurich Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article Spurious correlation in estimation of the health production function: A note, Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon (2010) Downloads View citations (1) (2010)
  8. The Russian Regional Convergence Process: Where Does It Go?
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (16)
  9. The Russian regional convergence process
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Downloads View citations (25)
    See also Journal Article The Russian Regional Convergence Process, Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2012) Downloads View citations (20) (2012)

2008

  1. Aggregated vs Disaggregated Trade Flows and the "Missing Globalization Puzzle"
    EcoMod2008, EcoMod Downloads
  2. Assessing the Impact of the ECB's Monetary Policy on the Stock Markets: A Sectoral View
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research (2008) Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Journal Article Assessing the impact of the ECB's monetary policy on the stock markets: A sectoral view, Economics Letters, Elsevier (2009) Downloads View citations (31) (2009)
  3. Climate Change and Modelling of Extreme Temperatures in Switzerland
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (3)
  4. Disaggregated Trade Flows and the "Missing Globalization Puzzle"
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article Disaggregated Trade Flows and the "Missing Globalization Puzzle", Economie Internationale, CEPII research center (2008) Downloads View citations (4) (2008)
  5. Does Aging Influence Sectoral Employment Shares? Evidence from Panel Data
    KOF Working papers, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research (2008) Downloads View citations (1)

2007

  1. A Dynamic Panel Data Approach to the Forecasting of the GDP of German Länder
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (26)
    See also Journal Article A Dynamic Panel Data Approach to the Forecasting of the GDP of German Länder, Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals (2008) Downloads View citations (32) (2008)
  2. Dynamic Modelling of the Demand for Money in Latvia
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article Dynamic modelling of the demand for money in Latvia, Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies (2008) Downloads View citations (5) (2008)
  3. Estimating Gravity Equations: To Log or Not to Log?
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (13)
    See also Journal Article Estimating gravity equations: to log or not to log?, Empirical Economics, Springer (2009) Downloads View citations (44) (2009)
  4. Money Demand in Estonia
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (3)
  5. The Missing Globalization Puzzle: Another Explanation
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads
  6. The Role of Remittances in Migration Decision: Evidence from Turkish Migration
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (3)
  7. What Drives Housing Prices Down?: Evidence from an International Panel
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article What Drives Housing Prices Down? Evidence from an International Panel, Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter (2010) Downloads View citations (12) (2010)

2006

  1. Modelling Turkish Migration to Germany
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (2)
  2. On Selection of Components for a Diffusion Index Model: It's not the Size, It's How You Use It
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Journal Article On selection of components for a diffusion index model: it's not the size, it's how you use it, Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals (2009) Downloads View citations (4) (2009)
  3. On the Role of Stock Market for Real Economic Activity
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (8)
  4. The Effect of Economic Reforms of 1980s and of the Customs Union 1996 upon the Turkish Intra-Industry Trade
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads

2005

  1. Banking Competition, Good or Bad?: The Case of Promoting Micro and Small Enterprise Finance in Kazakhstan
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads
    See also Journal Article Banking competition, good or bad? The case of promoting micro and small enterprise finance in Kazakhstan, Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2010) Downloads View citations (2) (2010)
  2. Convergence of European Spot Market Prices for Natural Gas? A Real-Time Analysis of Market Integration using the Kalman Filter
    Dresden Discussion Paper Series in Economics, Technische Universität Dresden, Faculty of Business and Economics, Department of Economics Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Journal Article Convergence of European spot market prices for natural gas? A real-time analysis of market integration using the Kalman Filter, Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals (2006) Downloads View citations (63) (2006)
  3. Export-Led Growth in Chile: Assessing the Role of Export Composition in Productivity Growth
    Proceedings of the German Development Economics Conference, Kiel 2005, Verein für Socialpolitik, Research Committee Development Economics Downloads View citations (4)
    Also in Ibero America Institute for Econ. Research (IAI) Discussion Papers, Ibero-America Institute for Economic Research (2004) Downloads View citations (10)

    See also Journal Article EXPORT‐LED GROWTH IN CHILE: ASSESSING THE ROLE OF EXPORT COMPOSITION IN PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH, The Developing Economies, Institute of Developing Economies (2006) Downloads View citations (57) (2006)
  4. Export-led growth hypothesis: Evidence for Chile
    Ibero America Institute for Econ. Research (IAI) Discussion Papers, Ibero-America Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Journal Article Export-led growth hypothesis: evidence for Chile, Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals (2006) Downloads View citations (43) (2006)
  5. Manufacturing Exports, Mining Exports and Growth: Cointegration and Causality Analysis for Chile (1960 - 2001)
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in Ibero America Institute for Econ. Research (IAI) Discussion Papers, Ibero-America Institute for Economic Research (2005) Downloads View citations (1)

    See also Journal Article Manufacturing exports, mining exports and growth: cointegration and causality analysis for Chile (1960-2001), Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2007) Downloads View citations (14) (2007)
  6. On the Estimation and Forecasting of International Migration: How Relevant Is Heterogeneity Across Countries?
    IZA Discussion Papers, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Journal Article On the estimation and forecasting of international migration: how relevant is heterogeneity across countries?, Empirical Economics, Springer (2006) Downloads View citations (58) (2006)
  7. On the Forecasting Properties of the Alternative Leading Indicators for the German GDP: Recent Evidence
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (18)
    See also Journal Article On the Forecasting Properties of the Alternative Leading Indicators for the German GDP: Recent Evidence, Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter (2006) Downloads View citations (48) (2006)

2004

  1. International Market Integration for Natural Gas? A Cointegration Analysis of Prices in Europe, North America and Japan
    Working Papers, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research Downloads
    Also in Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research (2003) Downloads View citations (27)

    See also Journal Article International market integration for natural gas? A cointegration analysis of prices in Europe, North America and Japan, Energy Economics, Elsevier (2005) Downloads View citations (111) (2005)

2003

  1. Forecasting industrial production with linear, nonlinear, and structural change models
    Econometric Institute Research Papers, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute Downloads View citations (20)
  2. International Migration to Germany: Estimation of a Time-Series Model and Inference in Panel Cointegration
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (5)
  3. Labor Supply of Married Females in Estonia
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (4)
  4. Long-Run Forecasting in Multicointegrated Systems
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (5)
    Also in Finance Working Papers, University of Aarhus, Aarhus School of Business, Department of Business Studies (2002) Downloads View citations (2)
    Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University Downloads View citations (7)

    See also Journal Article Long-run forecasting in multicointegrated systems, Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. (2004) Downloads View citations (8) (2004)
  5. Multicointegration in US Consumption Data
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University Downloads View citations (2)

    See also Journal Article Multicointegration in US consumption data, Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals (2006) Downloads View citations (6) (2006)
  6. Unusual Behaviour of Dickey-Fuller Tests in the Presence of Trend Misspecification: Comment
    Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research Downloads
    See also Journal Article Unusual behaviour of Dickey-Fuller tests in the presence of trend misspecification: comment, Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon (2003) Downloads (2003)

Undated

  1. The Bi-parameter Smooth Transition AutoRegressive model
    Economics Working Papers, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Journal Article The Bi-parameter Smooth Transition Autoregressive model, Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon (2005) Downloads View citations (3) (2005)

Journal Articles

2021

  1. Is it good to be bad or bad to be good? Assessing the aggregate impact of abnormal weather on consumer spending
    Empirical Economics, 2021, 61, (6), 3059-3085 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Is it good to be bad or bad to be good?: Assessing the aggregate impact of abnormal weather on consumer spending, KOF Working papers (2018) Downloads (2018)
  2. New York FED Staff Nowcasts and Reality: What Can We Learn about the Future, the Present, and the Past?
    Econometrics, 2021, 9, (1), 1-25 Downloads View citations (1)
  3. State‐dependent evaluation of predictive ability
    Journal of Forecasting, 2021, 40, (3), 547-574 Downloads View citations (1)

2020

  1. Assessing nowcast accuracy of US GDP growth in real time: the role of booms and busts
    Empirical Economics, 2020, 58, (1), 7-27 Downloads View citations (12)
    See also Working Paper Assessing Nowcast Accuracy of US GDP Growth in Real Time: The Role of Booms and Busts, Working Papers (2019) Downloads View citations (1) (2019)
  2. Employment effect of innovation
    Empirical Economics, 2020, 59, (3), 1373-1391 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Employment Effect of Innovation, JRC Working Papers in Economics and Finance (2019) Downloads View citations (5) (2019)

2018

  1. Google Trends and reality: Do the proportions match?
    Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2018, 145, (C), 1-23 Downloads View citations (37)
  2. Using rule-based updating procedures to improve the performance of composite indicators
    Economic Modelling, 2018, 68, (C), 127-144 Downloads View citations (11)

2017

  1. Dissecting models' forecasting performance
    Economic Modelling, 2017, 67, (C), 294-299 Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper Dissecting Models' Forecasting Performance, KOF Working papers (2015) Downloads (2015)
  2. International stock return predictability: on the role of the United States in bad and good times
    Applied Economics Letters, 2017, 24, (11), 771-773 Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper International Stock Return Predictability: On the Role of the United States in Bad and Good Times, KOF Working papers (2016) Downloads View citations (3) (2016)
  3. Re-assessing international stock return predictability: evidence from directional accuracy and excess profitability tests
    Applied Economics Letters, 2017, 24, (1), 1-3 Downloads
  4. Short-term forecasting with mixed-frequency data: a MIDASSO approach
    Applied Economics, 2017, 49, (13), 1326-1343 Downloads View citations (16)
    See also Working Paper Short-term forecasting with mixed-frequency data: A MIDASSO approach, KOF Working papers (2015) Downloads View citations (3) (2015)
  5. Think national, forecast local: a case study of 71 German urban housing markets
    Applied Economics, 2017, 49, (42), 4271-4297 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Think national, forecast local: A case study of 71 German urban housing markets, KOF Working papers (2015) Downloads (2015)

2016

  1. Langsame Erholung in unsicheren Zeiten
    KOF Analysen, 2016, 10, (4), 1-27 Downloads
  2. Preise fangen sich langsam, verhaltener Konjunkturausblick
    KOF Analysen, 2016, 10, (2), 1-29 Downloads
  3. R&D and non-linear productivity growth
    Research Policy, 2016, 45, (3), 634-646 Downloads View citations (56)
    See also Working Paper R&D and Non-Linear Productivity Growth of Heterogeneous Firms, JRC Working Papers on Corporate R&D and Innovation (2012) Downloads View citations (10) (2012)
  4. Regional Interest Rate Pass-Through in Italy
    Regional Studies, 2016, 50, (8), 1404-1419 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper Regional interest rate pass-through in Italy, KOF Working papers (2012) Downloads View citations (6) (2012)
  5. Schweizer Wirtschaft in turbulentem Umfeld
    KOF Analysen, 2016, 10, (1), 1-72 Downloads
  6. The franc shock and Swiss GDP: how long does it take to start feeling the pain?
    Applied Economics, 2016, 48, (36), 3432-3441 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper The franc shock and Swiss GDP: How long does it take to start feeling the pain?, KOF Working papers (2015) Downloads View citations (1) (2015)
  7. Using newspapers for tracking the business cycle: a comparative study for Germany and Switzerland
    Applied Economics, 2016, 48, (12), 1103-1118 Downloads View citations (7)
  8. Zurück zu moderatem Wachstum
    KOF Analysen, 2016, 10, (3), 1-108 Downloads

2015

  1. Aufhebung Mindestkurs: Rosskur für Schweizer Wirtschaft
    KOF Analysen, 2015, 9, (1), 1-78 Downloads
  2. Erholung in der EU – Taucher in der Schweiz
    KOF Analysen, 2015, 9, (2), 1-27 Downloads
  3. Evaluating rationality of level and growth rate forecasts of direct tax revenues under flexible loss function: Evidence from Swiss cantons
    Economics Letters, 2015, 134, (C), 65-68 Downloads View citations (3)
  4. Incentive effects of fiscal federalism: Evidence for France
    Cogent Economics & Finance, 2015, 3, (1), 1017949 Downloads View citations (1)
  5. Moderates Wachstum, Steigende Arbeitslosigkeit
    KOF Analysen, 2015, 9, (4), 1-27 Downloads
  6. Preissenkungen haben Einbruch abgefedert – Abwertung hellt Aussichten auf
    KOF Analysen, 2015, 9, (3), 1-106 Downloads

2014

  1. Das neue KOF Konjunkturbarometer – Version 2014
    KOF Analysen, 2014, 8, (1), 91-106 Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Does the law of one price hold in a high-inflation environment? A tale of two cities in Turkey
    Applied Economics, 2014, 46, (26), 3236-3245 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper Does the Law of One Price Hold in a High-Inflation Environment? A Tale of Two Cities in Turkey, EcoMod2011 (2011) Downloads (2011)
  3. Robustes Wirtschaftswachstum
    KOF Analysen, 2014, 8, (1), 1-76 Downloads
  4. Schweizer Wirtschaft auf Kurs – dank internationalem Rückenwind
    KOF Analysen, 2014, 8, (4), 1-31 Downloads
  5. Stabiles Wachstum in einem sich verbessernden konjunkturellen Umfeld
    KOF Analysen, 2014, 8, (2), 1-33 Downloads
  6. Using Personal Car Register for Measuring Economic Inequality in Countries with a Large Share of Shadow Economy: Evidence for Latvia
    Review of Income and Wealth, 2014, 60, (4), 948-966 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper Using Personal Car Register for Measuring Economic Inequality in Countries with a Large Share of Shadow Economy: Evidence for Latvia, Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin (2011) Downloads View citations (1) (2011)
  7. Warten auf den Aufschwung
    KOF Analysen, 2014, 8, (3), 1-106 Downloads

2013

  1. Dating Business Cycles in Historical Perspective: Evidence for Switzerland
    Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), 2013, 233, (5-6), 661-679 Downloads View citations (5)
  2. Do business tendency surveys help in forecasting employment?: A real-time evidence for Switzerland
    OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, 2013, 2013, (2), 129-151 Downloads View citations (8)
  3. Gute Konjunkturaussichten für die Schweizer Wirtschaft
    KOF Analysen, 2013, 7, (4), 1-29 Downloads
  4. Mit Zeitungen Konjunkturprognosen erstellen: Eine Vergleichsstudie für die Schweiz und Deutschland
    KOF Analysen, 2013, 7, (3), 104-117 Downloads
  5. Schweiz profitiert von Belebung der Weltwirtschaft
    KOF Analysen, 2013, 7, (1), 1-74 Downloads
  6. Schweizer Wirtschaft auf Expansionskurs
    KOF Analysen, 2013, 7, (3), 1-102 Downloads
  7. Schweizer Wirtschaft wächst trotz Rezession in Europa
    KOF Analysen, 2013, 7, (2), 1-29 Downloads
  8. Sous-estimation des recettes fiscales dans les cantons suisses: prudence ou erreur systématique?
    KOF Analysen, 2013, 7, (1), 77-90 Downloads
  9. The R-word index for Switzerland
    Applied Economics Letters, 2013, 20, (11), 1032-1035 Downloads View citations (13)
    See also Working Paper The R-word Index for Switzerland, KOF Working papers (2012) Downloads View citations (1) (2012)
  10. Wohnimmobilien in Großstädten: Kaufpreise steigen auch 2014 schneller als Mieten
    DIW Wochenbericht, 2013, 80, (49), 23-31 Downloads

2012

  1. Are GDP Revisions Predictable? Evidence for Switzerland
    Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), 2012, 58, (4), 299-326 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Are GDP Revisions Predictable? Evidence for Switzerland, EcoMod2012 (2012) Downloads View citations (5) (2012)
  2. Are there free rides out of a recession? The case of Switzerland
    International Review of Applied Economics, 2012, 26, (1), 27-45 Downloads
  3. Assessing the Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases for Now-/Forecasting GDP: Evidence for Switzerland
    Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), 2012, 232, (4), 429-444 Downloads View citations (13)
    See also Working Paper Assessing the Real-Time Informational Content of Macroeconomic Data Releases for Now-/Forecasting GDP: Evidence for Switzerland, Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin (2010) Downloads View citations (11) (2010)
  4. L’apport des enquêtes de conjoncture auprès des entreprises à la prévision à court terme de l’emploi: une application en temps réel sur données suisses
    Économie et Prévision, 2012, 199, (1), 93-109 Downloads
  5. Measuring regional inequality by internet car price advertisements: Evidence for Germany
    Economics Letters, 2012, 116, (3), 414-417 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper Measuring Regional Inequality by Internet Car Price Advertisements: Evidence for Germany, ERSA conference papers (2012) Downloads View citations (3) (2012)
  6. The Russian Regional Convergence Process
    Eastern European Economics, 2012, 50, (3), 5-26 Downloads View citations (20)
    See also Working Paper The Russian regional convergence process, KOF Working papers (2009) Downloads View citations (25) (2009)

2011

  1. Does aging influence structural change? Evidence from panel data
    Economic Systems, 2011, 35, (2), 244-260 Downloads View citations (24)
  2. The Real-Time Predictive Content of the KOF Economic Barometer
    Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), 2011, 147, (III), 353-375 Downloads View citations (7)

2010

  1. Banking competition, good or bad? The case of promoting micro and small enterprise finance in Kazakhstan
    Applied Economics, 2010, 42, (6), 701-716 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper Banking Competition, Good or Bad?: The Case of Promoting Micro and Small Enterprise Finance in Kazakhstan, Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin (2005) Downloads (2005)
  2. Evaluating German business cycle forecasts under an asymmetric loss function
    OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, 2010, 2010, (1), 1-18 Downloads View citations (27)
    See also Working Paper Evaluating German Business Cycle Forecasts Under an Asymmetric Loss Function, Macroeconomics and Finance Series (2009) Downloads View citations (4) (2009)
  3. Spurious correlation in estimation of the health production function: A note
    Economics Bulletin, 2010, 30, (3), 2505-2514 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper Spurious correlation in estimation of the health production function: A note, SOI - Working Papers (2009) Downloads View citations (6) (2009)
  4. What Drives Housing Prices Down? Evidence from an International Panel
    Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), 2010, 230, (1), 59-76 Downloads View citations (12)
    See also Working Paper What Drives Housing Prices Down?: Evidence from an International Panel, Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin (2007) Downloads View citations (6) (2007)

2009

  1. Assessing the impact of the ECB's monetary policy on the stock markets: A sectoral view
    Economics Letters, 2009, 105, (3), 211-213 Downloads View citations (31)
    See also Working Paper Assessing the Impact of the ECB's Monetary Policy on the Stock Markets: A Sectoral View, KOF Working papers (2008) Downloads View citations (1) (2008)
  2. Der KOF Beschäftigungsindikator – Zielsetzung, Konstruktion und Aussagekraft
    KOF Analysen, 2009, 3, (4), 39-50 Downloads
  3. Diskretionäre Fiskalpolitik: Pro und Kontra
    KOF Analysen, 2009, 3, (2), 25-43 Downloads View citations (1)
  4. Do Forecasters Inform or Reassure? Evaluation of the German Real-Time Data
    Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), 2009, 55, (4), 269-294
    See also Working Paper Do Forecasters Inform or Reassure?: Evaluation of the German Real-Time Data, Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin (2009) Downloads View citations (12) (2009)
  5. Estimating gravity equations: to log or not to log?
    Empirical Economics, 2009, 36, (3), 645-669 Downloads View citations (44)
    See also Working Paper Estimating Gravity Equations: To Log or Not to Log?, Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin (2007) Downloads View citations (13) (2007)
  6. Geben Konjunkturprognosen eine gute Orientierung?
    DIW Wochenbericht, 2009, 76, (13), 207-213 Downloads View citations (2)
  7. Migration and Trade: Complements or Substitutes? Evidence from Turkish Migration to Germany
    Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 2009, 45, (5), 47-61 Downloads View citations (5)
  8. On selection of components for a diffusion index model: it's not the size, it's how you use it
    Applied Economics Letters, 2009, 16, (12), 1249-1254 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper On Selection of Components for a Diffusion Index Model: It's not the Size, It's How You Use It, Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin (2006) Downloads View citations (3) (2006)

2008

  1. A Dynamic Panel Data Approach to the Forecasting of the GDP of German Länder
    Spatial Economic Analysis, 2008, 3, (2), 195-207 Downloads View citations (32)
    See also Working Paper A Dynamic Panel Data Approach to the Forecasting of the GDP of German Länder, Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin (2007) Downloads View citations (26) (2007)
  2. Disaggregated Trade Flows and the "Missing Globalization Puzzle"
    Economie Internationale, 2008, (115), 141-164 Downloads View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper Disaggregated Trade Flows and the "Missing Globalization Puzzle", KOF Working papers (2008) Downloads View citations (6) (2008)
  3. Dynamic modelling of the demand for money in Latvia
    Baltic Journal of Economics, 2008, 8, (1), 53-74 Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Working Paper Dynamic Modelling of the Demand for Money in Latvia, Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin (2007) Downloads View citations (1) (2007)
  4. Immobilienkrise?: Warum in Deutschland die Preise seit Jahren stagnieren
    DIW Wochenbericht, 2008, 75, (17), 214-220 Downloads View citations (3)
  5. Konjunkturprognosen für Bundesländer setzen Verbesserung der Datensituation voraus
    DIW Wochenbericht, 2008, 75, (24), 318-325 Downloads View citations (4)

2007

  1. Manufacturing exports, mining exports and growth: cointegration and causality analysis for Chile (1960-2001)
    Applied Economics, 2007, 39, (2), 153-167 Downloads View citations (14)
    See also Working Paper Manufacturing Exports, Mining Exports and Growth: Cointegration and Causality Analysis for Chile (1960 - 2001), Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin (2005) Downloads View citations (2) (2005)
  2. Using the gravity equation to differentiate among alternative theories of trade: another look
    Applied Economics Letters, 2007, 14, (14), 1065-1073 Downloads View citations (1)

2006

  1. Convergence of European spot market prices for natural gas? A real-time analysis of market integration using the Kalman Filter
    Applied Economics Letters, 2006, 13, (11), 727-732 Downloads View citations (63)
    See also Working Paper Convergence of European Spot Market Prices for Natural Gas? A Real-Time Analysis of Market Integration using the Kalman Filter, Dresden Discussion Paper Series in Economics (2005) Downloads View citations (10) (2005)
  2. EXPORT‐LED GROWTH IN CHILE: ASSESSING THE ROLE OF EXPORT COMPOSITION IN PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH
    The Developing Economies, 2006, 44, (3), 306-328 Downloads View citations (57)
    See also Working Paper Export-Led Growth in Chile: Assessing the Role of Export Composition in Productivity Growth, Proceedings of the German Development Economics Conference, Kiel 2005 (2005) Downloads View citations (4) (2005)
  3. Estimating and forecasting European migration: methods, problems and results
    Zeitschrift für ArbeitsmarktForschung - Journal for Labour Market Research, 2006, 39, (1), 35-56 Downloads View citations (4)
  4. Export-led growth hypothesis: evidence for Chile
    Applied Economics Letters, 2006, 13, (5), 319-324 Downloads View citations (43)
    See also Working Paper Export-led growth hypothesis: Evidence for Chile, Ibero America Institute for Econ. Research (IAI) Discussion Papers (2005) Downloads View citations (7) (2005)
  5. Home-Market and Factor-Endowment Effects in a Gravity Approach
    Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), 2006, 142, (2), 330-353 Downloads View citations (11)
  6. Modeling Inflation Dynamics in Transition Economies: The Case of Ukraine
    Eastern European Economics, 2006, 43, (6), 66-81 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Modelling Inflation Dynamics in Transition Economies: The Case of Ukraine, EcoMod2004 (2010) Downloads (2010)
  7. Modelling Demand for Money in Latvia (in Russian)
    Quantile, 2006, (1), 67-79 Downloads
  8. Multicointegration in US consumption data
    Applied Economics, 2006, 38, (7), 819-833 Downloads View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper Multicointegration in US Consumption Data, Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin (2003) Downloads View citations (3) (2003)
  9. On the Forecasting Properties of the Alternative Leading Indicators for the German GDP: Recent Evidence
    Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), 2006, 226, (3), 234-259 Downloads View citations (48)
    See also Working Paper On the Forecasting Properties of the Alternative Leading Indicators for the German GDP: Recent Evidence, Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin (2005) Downloads View citations (18) (2005)
  10. On the estimation and forecasting of international migration: how relevant is heterogeneity across countries?
    Empirical Economics, 2006, 31, (3), 735-754 Downloads View citations (58)
    See also Working Paper On the Estimation and Forecasting of International Migration: How Relevant Is Heterogeneity Across Countries?, IZA Discussion Papers (2005) Downloads View citations (7) (2005)

2005

  1. International market integration for natural gas? A cointegration analysis of prices in Europe, North America and Japan
    Energy Economics, 2005, 27, (4), 603-615 Downloads View citations (111)
    See also Working Paper International Market Integration for Natural Gas? A Cointegration Analysis of Prices in Europe, North America and Japan, Working Papers (2004) Downloads (2004)
  2. The Bi-parameter Smooth Transition Autoregressive model
    Economics Bulletin, 2005, 3, (23), 1-11 Downloads View citations (3)
    See also Working Paper The Bi-parameter Smooth Transition AutoRegressive model, Economics Working Papers Downloads View citations (1)

2004

  1. Long-run forecasting in multicointegrated systems
    Journal of Forecasting, 2004, 23, (5), 315-335 Downloads View citations (8)
    See also Working Paper Long-Run Forecasting in Multicointegrated Systems, Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin (2003) Downloads View citations (5) (2003)

2003

  1. Unusual behaviour of Dickey-Fuller tests in the presence of trend misspecification: comment
    Economics Bulletin, 2003, 3, (30), 1-7 Downloads
    See also Working Paper Unusual Behaviour of Dickey-Fuller Tests in the Presence of Trend Misspecification: Comment, Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin (2003) Downloads (2003)

Chapters

2014

  1. The Role of Remittances for Economic Growth: Evidence for Turkey
    Springer View citations (1)
 
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