An Application of Geographically Weighted Quantile Lasso to Weather Index Insurance Design

Daniel Lima Miquelluti, Vitor Augusto Ozaki and David José Miquelluti

RAC - Revista de Administração Contemporânea (Journal of Contemporary Administration), 2022, vol. 26, issue 3, e200387

Abstract: Objective: this article studies the efficiency of a novel regression approach, the geographically weighted quantile lasso (GWQlasso), in the modeling of yield-index relationship for weather index insurance products. GWQlasso allows regression coefficients to vary spatially, while using the information from neighboring locations to derive robust estimates. The lasso component of the model facilitates the selection of relevant explanatory variables. Methodology: a weather index insurance (WII) product is developed based on one-month standardized precipitation index (SPI) derived from a daily precipitation dataset for 41 weather stations in the state of Paraná (Brazil) for the period from 1979 to 2015. Soybean yield data are also used for the 41 municipalities from 1980 to 2015. The effectiveness of the GWQlasso product is evaluated against a classic quantile regression approach and a traditional yield insurance product using the spectral risk measure (SRM) and the mean semi-deviation. Results: while GWQlasso proved as effective as quantile regression, it outperformed the yield insurance product. Conclusion: the GWQlasso is an alternative to the crop insurance market in Brazil and other locations with limited data.

Date: 2022
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://rac.anpad.org.br/index.php/rac/article/view/1506 (text/html)
https://rac.anpad.org.br/index.php/rac/article/view/1506/1723 (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:abg:anprac:v:26:y:2022:i:3:1506

Access Statistics for this article

RAC - Revista de Administração Contemporânea (Journal of Contemporary Administration) is currently edited by Marcelo de Souza Bispo

More articles in RAC - Revista de Administração Contemporânea (Journal of Contemporary Administration) from ANPAD - Associação Nacional de Pós-Graduação e Pesquisa em Administração
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Information Technology of ANPAD ().