Future Property Damage from Flooding – Sensitivities to Economy and Climate Change

Jing Liu, Thomas Hertel, Michael S. Delgado, Moetasim Ashfaq and Noah Diffenbaugh

No 169801, 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota from Agricultural and Applied Economics Association

Abstract: Using a unique dataset for Indiana counties during the period 1995-2012, we estimate the effects of flood hazard, asset exposure, and social vulnerability on property damage. This relationship then is combined with the expected level of future flood risks to project property damage from flooding in 2030 under various scenarios. We compare these scenario projections to identify which risk management strategy offers the greatest potential to mitigate flooding loss. Results show that by 2030, county level flooding hazard measured by extreme flow volume and frequency will increase by an average of 16.2% and 7.4%, respectively. The total increase in property damages projected under different model specifications range from 13.3% to 20.8%. Across models future damages consistently exhibit the highest sensitivity to future increases in asset exposure, reinforcing the importance of non-structural measures in managing floodplain development.

Keywords: Environmental; Economics; and; Policy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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Related works:
Journal Article: Future property damage from flooding: sensitivities to economy and climate change (2015)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ags:aaea14:169801

DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.169801

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